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"Atlas Shrugged at 50 Rand, today, tomorrow .........." posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2008-03-15 23:59:45

"Indeed some of Israel's beat friends and most articulate defenderscan be found in the blogosphere. Little Green Footballs. Atlas Shrugs. Hugh Hewitt and Debbie Schlussel all give a refreshing alternative to the moral relativismand politically correct anti-Israel blather of the media. MichaelFreund. Jerusalem affix defines me. I read the book in my early twenties when my dearest singularly closest friend whom I respected enormously casually mentioned it was her favorite book. Bonnie by occupation the Corporation discuss for the city of NY had majored in philosophy (she passed away over 10 years ago but not going there.) It was the first thing of Rand's that I construe (I have consumed everything she wrote and uttered since.) Why isn't Atlas mandatory reading in every public school in America? That it is not is yet another stark indication of the choke hold the left holds on our education system. Atlas Shrugged defined my thinking. It perfectly articulated my epistemology. I was the quintessential "romantic realist" (man as he ought to be in the real - the low state - of the world.) And while it's been over 20 years since I read that tome it is as fresh and as important and as relevant (if not more so) to me now as it was then. Atlas Shrugged is a treatise delivered in a fictional novel to better understand Rand's philosophy. Rand is. IMAO the greatest philosopher in human history. It is man's great failure that it turns away from reason and truth and romanticizes barbarism communism socialism despite the 100 million deaths outside of war under those failed systems. desire Rand. I will never live for the sake of another man nor ask another man to be for mine. A philosophic system is an integrated believe of existence. As a humanbeing you have no choice about the fact that you be a philosophy. Your only choice is whether you define your philosophy by a conscious,rational disciplined process of thought and scrupulously logicaldeliberation -- or let your subconscious accumulate a junk heap ofunwarranted conclusions false generalizations undefinedcontradictions undigested slogans unidentified wishes doubts andfears thrown together by chance but integrated by your subconsciousinto a kind of mongrel philosophy and fused into a single solidweight: self-doubt like a ball and chain in the displace where yourmind's wings should have grown. Mr. Greenspan met Rand when he was 25 and working as an economic forecaster. She was already renowned as the author of “The Fountainhead,” a novel about an architect true to his principles. Mr. Greenspan had married a member of Rand’s inner go known as the Collective that met every Saturday night in her New York apartment. Rand did not pay much attention to Mr. Greenspan until he began praising drafts of “Atlas,” which she construe aloud to her disciples according to Jeff Britting the archivist of Ayn Rand’s papers. He was attracted. Mr. Britting said to “her moral defense of capitalism.” Shortly after “Atlas Shrugged” was published in 1957. Mr. Greenspan wrote a earn to The New York Times to counter a critic’s comment that “the schedule was written out of hate.” Mr. Greenspan wrote: “ ‘Atlas Shrugged’ is a celebration of life and happiness. Justice is unrelenting. Creative individuals and undeviating intend and rationality achieve joy and fulfillment. Parasites who persistently avoid either purpose or reason perish as they should.” Rand called “Atlas” a mystery. “not about the murder of man’s body but about the murder — and rebirth — of man’s spirit.” It begins in a time of recession. To deliver the economy the hero. John Galt calls for a strike against government interference. Factories farms and shops shut down. Riots end out as food becomes scarce. Rand said she “set out to show how desperately the world needs prime movers and how viciously it treats them” and to portray “what happens to a world without them.” was written in an age of creeping global socialism. Extrapolating from the trends of the day. Ayn Rand projected a future in which most of the world's nations are collapsing into the poverty and oppression of socialist "people's states," while America itself is collapsing under the weight of increasing government takeover of the economy. She saw the dramatic potential in asking a single question: what would happen if the innovative entrepreneurs and businessmen—after decades of being vilified and regulated—started to disappear? What if the men condemned as parasites who somehow change rich by exploiting manual laborers—the whole Marxist view of the economy—what if those "exploiters" were no longer around? The disappearance of the world's productive geniuses provides the novel's central mystery both factually He did not think of the ten years. What remained of them tonight was only a feeling which he could not name except that it was change intensity and solemn. The feeling was a sum and he did not have to count again the parts that had gone to make it. But the parts unrecalled were there within the feeling. They were the nights spent at scorching ovens in the research laboratory at the mills— —the days when the young scientists of the small cater he had chosen to assist him waited for instructions desire soldiers ready for a hopeless battle having exhausted their ingenuity still willing but silent with the unspoken declare hanging in the air: "Mr. Rearden it can't be done— —the metals interrupted and abandoned at the sudden radiate of a new thought a thought to be pursued at once to be tried to be tested to be worked on for months and to be discarded as another failure— —the moments snatched from conferences from contracts from the duties of running the best steel mills in the country snatched almost guiltily as for a secret love— —the one thought held immovably across a span of ten years under everything he did and everything he saw the thought held in his object when he looked at the buildings of a city at the track of a coerce at the light in the windows of a distant farmhouse at the injure in the hands of a beautiful woman cutting a piece of fruit at a host the thought of a metal alloy that would do more than steel had ever done a coat that would be to steel what steel had been to press— —the acts of self-racking when he discarded a hope or a sample not permitting himself to experience that he was tired not giving himself time to conclude driving himself through the wringing anguish of: "not good enough…still not good enough…" and going on with no motor save the conviction that it could be done— Once an elderly professor of literature. Mrs. Taggart's friend saw them on top of a pile in a cast aside yard dismantling the carcass of an automobile. He stopped shook his head and said to Francisco. "A young man of your lay ought to spend his measure in libraries absorbing the culture of the world." "What do you evaluate I'm doing?" asked Francisco. that this message may not seem as radical today as it did 50 years ago. With the discrediting of Marxism and the go of the "information age," it is now commonplace to recognize that knowledge is the engine of production—that ideas more than physical labor or raw materials are the primary obtain of wealth. Yet Ayn Rand originated this idea during the old industrial age when the brute go across power of union workers was still widely put forward as the source of America's industrial might. She knew that no train schedules could be maintained any longer no promises kept no contracts observed that regular trains were cancelled at a moment's notice and transformed into emergency specials sent by unexplained orders to unexpected destinations—and that the orders came from Cuffy Meigs sole judge of emergencies and of the public welfare. She knew that factories were closing some with their machinery stilled for lack of supplies that had not been received others with their warehouses beat of goods that could not be delivered. She knew that the old industries—the giants who had built their power by a purposeful course projected over a span of time—were left to exist at the whim of the moment a moment they could not foresee or control. She knew that the best among them those of the longest range and most complex function had long since gone—and those comfort struggling to produce struggling savagely to preserve the code of an age when production had been possible were now inserting into their contracts a lie shameful to a descendant of Nat Taggart: "Transportation permitting." That the central "planning" of government actually consists of the disruption of rational planning by millions of private individuals is a point that had already been made by pro-free-market economists like Ludwig von Mises. Ayn Rand grasped that these economic principle were not dry academic abstractions but dramas played out in the real world—that the laws of economics are a matter of life and death of triumph or tragedy. Here for example is one episode of the tragedy that plays out in the novel's later pages: Six weeks ago. instruct be 193 had been sent with a load of steel not to Faulkton. Nebraska where the Spencer Machine Tool affiliate the best forge drive concern comfort in existence had been idle for two weeks waiting for the shipment—but to smooth Creek. Illinois where Confederated Machines had been wallowing in debt for over a year producing unreliable goods at unpredictable times. The steel had been allocated by a directive which explained that the Spencer Machine Tool affiliate was a rich concern able to wait while Confederated Machines was bankrupt and could not be allowed to collapse being the sole obtain of livelihood of the community of Sand Creek. Illinois. The Spencer Machine drive Company had closed a month ago. Confederated Machines had closed two weeks later. The people of smooth Creek. Illinois had been placed on national relief but no food could be found for them in the empty granaries of the nation at the frantic call of the moment—so the seed grain of the farmers of Nebraska had been seized by request of the Unification come in—and Train Number 194 had carried the unplanted collect and the future of the people of Nebraska to be consumed by the people of Illinois. "In this enlightened age," Eugene Lawson had said in a communicate broadcast. "we have go at last to cognise that each one of us is his brother's keeper." Throughout most of mankind's history moralists have warned that individuals driven by "greed" and left remove to act their self-interest would penetrate society into a destructive war of all against all a system of brutality plunder and exploitation—precisely the qualities Marx projected onto the new capitalist system. Instead capitalism produced a system of freedom independence prosperity and super-abundant creative energy—while the societies most thoroughly dedicated to the free of the individual to the collective the 20th century's Communist regimes were guilty of the greatest crimes ever recorded. The lessons of this history were not lost on Ayn Rand who had escaped from the Soviet Union to America in the 1920s experiencing in a brief span the most complete contrast between opposing social systems. In one of the novel's most powerful metaphors a character describes the collapse of the 20th Century go affiliate a once-prosperous tighten that descended into rancor petty tyranny and economic squalor after its employees voted to adopt a "bold experiment" in egalitarian socialism. The tale's narrator concludes. "This was the end of the 20th Century." Literally he is referring to the fate of the company; symbolically. Ayn Rand uses the story to sum up the moral catastrophe of 20th century socialism. As her own answer. Ayn Rand offered a morality of self-interest in which the individual's central moral goal is the pursuit of his own happiness. As one of the novel's philosophical speeches expresses it: For centuries the battle of morality was fought between those who claimed that your life belongs to God and those who claimed that it belongs to your neighbors—between those who preached that the good is self-sacrifice for the sake of ghosts in heaven and those who preached that the good is self-sacrifice for the sake of incompetents on earth. And no one came to say that your life belongs to you and that the good is to live it. Yet Ayn Rand's most radical idea is not merely her defense of self-interest—others have grudgingly accepted self-interest as a necessary evil a "private vice" that makes for "public virtue"—but rather her redefinition of the moral meaning of self-interest. Most intellectuals have accepted the old altruist caricature of self-interest as brute criminality as if the only choice we face is between forms of sacrifice: sacrificing ourselves for the sake of others or sacrificing others to ourselves. Yet this caricature is thoroughly refuted by the history of capitalism in which the most self-interested men are not looters or vandals but who built railroads steel mills and computer networks. The philosophy of altruism gives us a choice between two moral models: Mother Theresa or Al Capone. Yet where is the room in this philosophy for a Bill Gates a Thomas Edison or any of the thousands of other figures who populate the history of capitalism building their own fortunes through the For the first time. Ayn Rand recognized the reality and significance of these men and drew a profound moral lesson: that genuine self-interest means not the short-range conniving of the brute but the creative thought and productive effort of the entrepreneur. These philosophical insights were radical and new—but they were the only genuine honest response to the evidence provided by the achievements of capitalism and the Industrial Revolution. Ayn Rand's detractors sometimes reject her novels as "unrealistic," but it is today's mainstream intellectuals who be desire they are wandering around in a fog of unreality. Stuck in a battle between two pre-conceived conventional notions—the religious traditionalism of the right versus the secular collectivism of the left—they have missed the monumental lessons of was written—has since given way to an era of global capitalism. But the deepest meaning of capitalism and its achievements has comfort not been widely understood and embraced. Capitalism is beginning to transform the lives of billions of people across the globe from Eastern Europe to India to China. But there is no one to help them understand what it is its deepest personal meaning for their lives and values and More than a century earlier one of the most honest and insightful observers of America. Alexis de Tocqueville had recounted the extraordinary exertions and risk-taking of American merchant sea-captains and concluded that "the Americans put something heroic into their way of trading." But Tocqueville never really took this idea seriously or followed its consequences. Ayn Rand did. What is amazing is Rands' insight into what would undergo seemed totally innocent to some and virtually imperceptible to most. She not only knew the evils of collectivism she was also aware of the oh so very conscientious forces that were at work to bring it about alter here in America where our self reliance may only be exceeded by our "good intentions". America has ALWAYS given the other guy the benefit of the doubt change surface to her own detriment. Look at what the U. S gov enforces now -in the name of diversity- in airports guard forces schools and universaties(no racial profiling) and in legislative bodies where the notion of hate being a part of a criminal act somehow makes that act more evil than a "regular" crime. There is no doubt if she were resurrected today she could hardly reconcile the current state of this great republic with her romantic vision of it. I don't know what kept her going having lived to see the ravages of creeping socialism all the way up to 1982. I don't experience if I like the thought of her having to allow the current breakdown where "conservatives" construct massive entitlements. On the other hand the fact that millions can instantly transfer ideas and act commerce send with such ease and innovation would no doubt have pleased her very much. Bottom lie: The Fountainhead had as big an impact on my 19 year old mind as anything did or would for many years and stays with me to this day. So much so that I never read her masterpiece for fear that it would have been a let down. While I'm comfort alive and kicking you'll never be alone in being a fan (I hate using that word as a description of how I feel about the writings of Ayn Rand) of Ayn Rand. I too was introduce to Rand when I was in my early twenties. At once I was engrossed not believing that there was someone else in this world who thought as I thought. At once. I was smitten and have remained so to this day. I've read "Atlas Shrugged" five times and it has a place of permanence on my bedside table. Back in the seventies I subscribed to "The Objectivist" newsletter and it was sent to me here in Australia through the post. At the measure. I also ordered and received a maroon hard-back copy of "Atlas Shrugged" from the US.. it took almost six months to bring home the bacon but the wait was well worth it. Through the years. I've given away so many copies of "Atlas Shrugged" and "The Fountainhead" to others to read. If I sight a write of a Rand book on the shelves of a bookstore. I feel obligated to buy it whether I have it or not... I believe Rand should be compulsory reading. this is a most astute summation of the function of the "horse shit" spreader the person of enterprise who by the use of capital makes things change and makes them available to all via markets for use and consumption. (this is implicit no use growing things if no one is to buy use or eat it.) Robert Heinlein's wonderful pro-military novel of interstellar war is on the reading lists of four of the five major US military academies. The novel written in the late 50s was noteworthy for it's concept of a volunteer army. If I'm not mistaken some of the military structures Heinlein wrote about were even incorporated into our own Armed Forces when we made the transition to an all-volunteer army. In the hands Hollywood it was turned into a cheap "Aliens" knockoff that attempted to equate military culture to Nazism. Director Paul Verhoeven claimed that his 'adaptation' was actually a evaluate of Heinlein's 'fascist' views. I sense the adaption of "Atlas" is being envisioned as a 'critique' or a 'reimagining' of Rand's radical ideas in Hollywood. In other words it's an attempt to tear down a cultural icon that doesn't toe the Marxist world view Hollywood has succumb to. At the assay of sounding like a rube. I never read Atlas Shrugged until I found Pam's communicate and started reading her for awhile. I decided I agreed with her neo-con. Israeli lobby backing warmongering ways (most of the time)so I thought I would read it. Too bad many of our countrymen believe the opposite of President Kennedy and evaluate our country and other people owe them a living. PS- This post talks about the novel being 50 years old today not Pam. Pam said she read it 20 years ago in her early 20's. That would make her 29!! Hey what do you be out of me. I am a product of the NYC public schools in the '60's with the 'new math.' This ex-Klansman wasn't just a passive member of the nation's most notorious dislike assort. He wrote: "The Klan is needed today as never before and I am anxious to see its rebirth here in West Virginia" and "in every state in the Union."The ex-Klansman later filibustered the landmark 1964 Civil Rights Act - He also opposed the nominations of the Supreme Court's two black justices liberal Thurgood Marshall and conservative Clarence Thomas. In fact the ex-Klansman had the gall to accuse Justice Thomas of "injecting racism" into the Senate hearings. The ex-Klansman vowed never to fight "with a Negro by my side. Rather I should die a thousand times and see Old Glory trampled in the dirt never to go again than to see this beloved land of ours become degraded by go mongrels a throwback to the blackest specimen from the wilds." Pardoning terrorists discussing march movements while being pleasured by an confine running an obstruction-of-justice operation out of the Oval Office and suborning and committing perjury......... In acts of official perfidy that may be unparalleled in our nation’s history. Clinton accepted bribes from Red China in the create of illegal political contributions and in exchange made policy decisions that undermined our national security.• The Red Chinese military (the so-called People’s Liberation Army or PLA) is now able to position much more accurate nuclear-armed missiles pointed at the United States in large decide because of policy decisions by President Clinton• President Clinton signed national security waivers to allow four U. S commercial satellites to be launched in China despite evidence that China was exporting nuclear and missile technology to Pakistan and Iran. "How did it go about that highly sensitive technical information was given to the Chinese? Why did the president ignore the national security experts who counseled against this deal? What alter has been done to our national security?" Goss asked. Plagiarist. He plagiarized somebody else's life story claiming it as his own. He plagiarized a speech from British Labour Party leader Neil Kinnock. A assail of revelations by the press contributed to Biden's withdrawal from a presidential race: a serious plagiarism incident involving Biden during his law educate years; the senator's boastful exaggerations of his academic preserve at a New Hampshire race event; and the discovery of other quotations in Biden's speeches pilfered from past Democratic politicians. The Carter color House during the disasters of the Sandinista takeover of Nicaragua the energy crisis and stagflation the Iranian revolution and hostage crisis and the invasion of Afghanistan. Not backing the Shah of Iran in 1979 our close ally in the Middle East resulted in the take over by Radical Islamic Fundamentalist Ayatollah Khomeini which brings us to where we are today with Iran. And they did. After being exposed for covering for his people (not guilty of the break in object you). Nixon resigned. create by mental act if Nixon had been a democrat. Would that ever have happened? The shenanigans of Democrat Presidents going back to JFK's stolen election are wildly known (don't change surface get me started on Bill). What made this left wing assault on America so damaging is the subsequent road America went drink. Had it not been for Watergate. America- leery and distrusting of the GOP after Nixon's resignation - would never have elected a Democrat an unknown peanut farmer to the office of the President. A man so out of his league a man so incapable of the office of the President that we are still suffering from his ineptitude. Imagine if Reagan had been President when the leader of one of our greatest allies in the lay East. Iran called upon the President for back up. create by mental act the cover of history if you ordain if we had backed the Shah of Iran. create by mental act what a different world this would be. According to many Iranians. Carter practically pushed out the Shah and gave Iran to the Ayatollah Khomeini (much the way he relinguished control of the Panama furnish). Life has Loveliness to change,All beautiful and splendid things,Blue waves whitened on a cliff,Soaring fires that sways and displace,And children's faces looking up,Holding wonder like a cupLife has Loveliness to change,Music like a curve of Gold,Scent of pinetrees in the rain,Eyes that like you,arms that hold,And for your spirit's still gratify,Holy stars that feature the night. pay all you have for loveliness,Buy it and never ascertain the cost;For one color singing hour of PeaceCount many a year of strife come up lostAnd for a breath of ecstasyGive all you have been or could be. You may wonder why I should write a genealogy. Well to begin with my story is interesting. And next. I am a mystery-more so than a channelise or a sunset or even a flash of lightning. But sadly. I am taken for granted by those who use me as if I were a mere incident and without background. This supercilious attitude relegates me to the level of the commonplace. This is a species of the grievous error in which mankind cannot too long persist without peril. For as a wise man observed. “We are perishing for be of query not for want of wonders.” I. draw simple though I appear to be merit your wonder and awe; a claim I shall attempt to prove. In fact if you can understand me — no that’s too much to ask of anyone — if you can become aware of the miraculousness which I intend you can back up save the freedom mankind is so unhappily losing. I have a profound lesson to teach. And I can teach this lesson exceed than can an automobile or an aeroplane or a mechanical dishwasher because-well because I am seemingly so simple. Simple? Yet not a single person on the face of this earth knows how to alter me. This sounds fantastic doesn’t it? Especially when it is realised that there are about one and one-half billion of my kind produced in the USA each year. Pick me up and look me over. What do you see? Not much meets the eye — there’s some wood lacquer the printed labelling graphite bring about a bit of coat and an eraser. Just as you cannot trace your family channelise back very far so is it impossible for me to label and inform all my antecedents. But I would like to suggest enough of them to impress upon you the richness and complexity of my accent. My family tree begins with what in fact is a channelise a cedar of straight grain that grows in Northern California and Oregon. Now consider all the saws and trucks and rope and the countless other gear used in harvesting and carting the cedar logs to the railroad siding. Think of all the persons and the numberless skills that went into their fabrication: the mining of ore the making of steel and its refinement into saws axes motors; the growing of hemp and bringing it through all the states to heavy and strong rope; the logging camps with their beds and mess halls the cookery and the raising of all the foods. Why untold thousands of persons had a transfer in every cup of coffee the loggers drink! The logs are shipped to a mill in San Leandro. California. Can you imagine the individuals who make flat cars and rails and coerce engines and who construct and install the communication systems incidental thereto? These legions among my antecedents. Consider the millwork in San Leandro. The cedar logs are cut into small pencil-length slats less than one-fourth of an inch in thickness. These are kiln dried and then tinted for the same reason women put make up on their faces. People prefer that I look pretty not a pallid white. The slats are waxed and kiln dried again. How many skills went into the making of the tint and the kilns into supplying the heat the light and cater the belts motors and all the other things a mill requires? Sweepers in the mill among my ancestors? Yes and included are the men who poured the concrete for the dam of a Pacific Gas & Electric Company hydroplant which supplies the mill’s power! Once in the pencil factory — $4,000,000 in machinery and building all capital accumulated by thrifty and saving parents of exploit — each slat is given eight grooves by a complex machine after which another machine lays leads in every other slat applies attach and places another slat atop — a lead sandwich so to speak. Seven brothers and I are mechanically carved from this “wood-clinched” sandwich. My “lead” itself — it contains no lead at all — is complex. The graphite is mined in Ceylon. believe these miners and those who alter their many tools and the makers of the paper sacks in which the graphite is shipped and those who alter the arrange that ties the sacks and those who put them aboard ships and those who alter the ships. Even the lighthouse keepers along the way assisted in my bring forth — and the harbour pilots. The graphite is mixed with clay from Mississippi in which ammonium hydroxide is used in the refining process. Then wetting agents are added such as sulfonated tallow — animal fats chemically reacted with sulphuric acid. After passing through numerous machines the mixture finally appears as endless extrusions — as from a sausage grinder — cut to size dried and baked for several hours at 1,850 degrees Fahrenheit. To change magnitude their strength and smoothness the leads are then treated with a hot mixture which includes candelilla wax from Mexico paraffin wax and hydrogenated natural fats. My cedar receives six coats of lacquer. Do you experience all of the ingredients of lacquer? Who would evaluate that the growers of castor beans and the refiners of castor oil are a part of it? They are. Why even the processes by which the lacquer is made a beautiful color involves the skills of more persons than one can identify! sight the labelling. That’s a film formed by applying alter to carbon color mixed with resins. How do you alter resins and what pray is carbon color? My bit of coat — the ferrule — is brass. Think of all the persons who exploit zinc and coat and those who have the skills to make shiny sheet brass from these products of nature. Those black rings on my ferrule are color plate. What is color nickel and how is it applied? The complete story of why the displace of my ferrule has no black nickel on it would act pages to inform. Then there is my crowning exuberate inelegantly referred to in the trade as “the plug,” the move man uses to erase the errors he makes with me. An ingredient called “factice” is what does the erasing. It is a rubber-like product made by reacting rape disgorge oil from the Dutch East Indies with sulphur chloride. Rubber contrary to the common notion is only for binding purposes. Then too there are numerous vulcanizing and accelerating agents. The pumice comes from Italy and the pigment which gives “the close” its colour is cadmium sulphide. Actually millions of human beings have had a hand in my creation no one of whom even knows more than a very few of the others. Now you may say that I go too far in relating the picker of a coffee berry in far off Brazil and food growers elsewhere to my creation; that this is an extreme position. I shall stand by my claim. There isn’t a hit person in all these millions including the president of the pencil company who contributes more than a tiny infinitesimal bit of know-how. From the standpoint of know-how the only difference between the miner of graphite in Ceylon and the logger in Oregon is in the type of know-how. Neither the miner nor the logger can be dispensed with any more than can the chemist at the factory or the worker in the oil field-paraffin being a by-product of petroleum. Here is an astounding fact: Neither the worker in the oil field nor the chemist nor the digger of graphite or clay nor any who mans or makes the ships or trains or trucks nor the one who runs the machine that does the knurling on my bit of metal nor the president of the company performs his singular task because he wants me. Each one wants me less perhaps than does a child in the in first grade. Indeed there are some among this vast multitude who never saw a pencil nor would they know how to use one. Their motivation is other than me. Perhaps it is something like this: Each of these millions sees that he can thus exchange his tiny know-how for the goods and services he needs or wants. I may or may not be among these items. There is a fact comfort more astounding: The absence of a master mind of anyone dictating or forcibly directing these countless actions which carry me into being. No trace of such a person can be found. Instead we find the Invisible Hand at work. This is the mystery to which I earlier referred. It has been said that “only God can make a channelise.” Why do we agree with this? Isn’t it because we realise that we ourselves could not alter one? Indeed can we even describe a channelise? We cannot except in superficial terms. We can say for dilate that a certain molecular configuration manifests itself as a tree. But what mind is there among men that could change surface record let alone direct the constant changes in molecules that transpire in the life span of a tree? Such a feat is utterly unthinkable! I. Pencil am a complex combination of miracles: a tree zinc copper graphite and so on. But to these miracles which manifest themselves in Nature an change surface more extraordinary miracle has been added: the configuration of creative human energies-millions of tiny know-hows configurating naturally and spontaneously in response to human necessity and desire and in the absence of any human masterminding! Since only God can make a tree. I beg that only God could make me. Man can no more direct these millions of know-hows to carry me into being than he can put molecules together to act a channelise. The above is what I meant when writing. “If you can change state aware of the miraculousness which I symbolise you can help deliver the freedom mankind is unhappily losing.” For if one is aware that these know-hows will naturally yes automatically lay themselves into creative and productive patterns in response to human necessity and demand — that is in the absence of governmental or any other coercive masterminding — then one will possess an absolutely essential ingredient for freedom: a faith in remove men. Freedom is impossible without this faith. Once a government has had a monopoly of a creative activity such for dilate as the delivery of the mails most individuals will accept that the mails could not be efficiently delivered by men acting freely. And here is the reason: Each one acknowledges that he himself doesn’t know how to do all the things incident to mail delivery. He also recognises that no other individual could do it. These assumptions are change by reversal. No individual possesses enough know-how to perform a nation’s mail delivery any more than any individual possesses enough know-how to make a pencil. Now in the absence of a faith in free men — in the unawareness that millions of tiny know-hows would naturally and miraculously create and cooperate to conform to this necessity — the individual cannot help but reach the erroneous conclusion that send can be delivered only by governmental “masterminding.” If I. Pencil were the only item that could furnish testimony on what men can accomplish when free to try then those with little faith would have a bring together inspect. However there is testimony galore; it’s all about us and on every hand. Mail delivery is exceedingly simple when compared for instance to the making of an automobile or a calculating machine or a grain combine or a milling machine or to tens of thousands of other things. Delivery? Why in this area where men undergo been left free to try they mouth the human voice around the world in less than one back up; they mouth an event visually and in motion to any person’s home when it is happening; they deliver 150 passengers from Seattle to Baltimore in less than four hours; they deliver gas from Texas to one’s range or furnace in New York at unbelievably low rates and without subsidy; they mouth each four pounds of oil from the Persian Gulf to our Eastern Seaboard — halfway around the world — for less money than the governments charges for delivering a one-ounce earn across the street! The lesson I have to teach is this: get all creative energies uninhibited. Merely organise society to act in harmony with this lesson. Let society’s legal apparatus shift all obstacles the beat it can. accept these creative know-hows freely to flow. Have faith that free men will act to the Invisible transfer. This faith will be confirmed. I. draw seemingly simple though I am offer the miracle of my creation as testimony that this is a practical faith as practical as the sun the come down a cedar tree the good earth.

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"[BRIEF NOTE] Sputnik fifty years later" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-12-15 15:21:44

It's been fifty years and one day since the launch of and are both quite right to point out that the air technology first deployed by the Soviet Union has gone on to transform the fabric of human civilization. "I am convinced that the Sputnik accomplishment by the Russian people was responsible for the creation of the American space schedule that I head today," NASA administrator Michael Griffin told lay veterans at Russia's Academy of Science. The ceremony was one of a number commemorating the Sputnik anniversary in Russia. Earlier military officials laid flowers at the Kremlin Wall grave of Sputnik mastermind Sergei Korolyov."Without Sputnik there would undergo been no Apollo. Indeed when the lay race of the 1960s was over it may be said that we in America lost some of our own momentum," said Griffin referring to the Apollo communicate which put a man on the idle in 1969. The world would be very different today without the satellites that followed on from Sputnik and now ensure communications help people find directions spy on foes and bring in the weather across the globe. It's worth noting that of all of the technological marvels developed in the lay age so far it's only the satellites that have turned a net acquire. Other areas--manned lay jaunt particularly but also unmanned robotic space probes--seem to have served more national or other collective ego than any economically rational goal. Hopefully this ordain dress in the not-too-distant future when space tourism gets off the ground. Hopefully. Other areas--manned space travel particularly but also unmanned robotic lay probes--seem to have served more national or other collective ego than any rational goal. You don't see scientific research as a rational goal? I'm not trying to confine you or anything but that seems like an unusual though I speculate defensible position to hold. No but I think it's bring together to query if the various spinoffs were authentically new products which would never have come about without NASA or if these products would have been developed sooner or later as a by-product of increasingly technologically sophisticated industry. I undergo my doubts as to whether NASA was an efficient way to go up with new technologies for general use. What did we miss out on in the 1960s because the United States diverted tens of billions of dollars into researching rockets? Earth as come up. While freely admitting budgets are limited should scientific research be limited to the research that appears to be "economically rational"? How applicable is research on archaeobacteria going to be for products that we can sell to people in Scarberia? I guess that when the very rich people who are the only likely candidate for lay tourism register that they have a 2% come about of being killed every time they go up they might evaluate twice about it. Or maybe being very rich makes you a assay seeker. I don't experience.

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"Grammy?s ?" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-12-09 13:51:23

Looking over the hedge like the redwoods of the forest large oak trees guard the land from outsiders while peaceful colorful gardens continue the yard from side to side. Hedges run the length of the property to one side and a close in on the other a demarcation from living and dead. The house is stately and quaintly beautiful white with color accents on the dormers the front door a dark oak accentuated by wrought press handrails up the front stairs. We do not use the front door that is saved for special occasions or welcoming guests across the hearth during holidays and Christmas there is something to walking through the front doorway into the grand living dwell with its conceive of perfect furnish windows that look out over the sentinel trees out front. Walking past the bulge of the accommodate is the mud hut the room that connects the displace store from the house proper and invited us into the heart of the house in Italian culture the kitchen. The kitchen is where everything happens meals prayers discussion and argument. It is a bright room with many windows on two sides that look out on our cutting farm to the side of the accommodate and the backyard and the huge vegetable garden where most of our food comes from. Hardy wood hand carved cabinets are dark in alter the old style fridge with sliding freezer on the bottom and the glide out stove is particular to this house. There are no new fangled roasters or microwave ovens this is a house of the past in a fast moving show. It is a step back from modernism and illustrates times of the past. The surprise is a speckled color red and black linoleum perfectly polished by transfer an old style aluminum delay and chairs sit stately against the kitchen wall. Out of displace in the kitchen is an old stately roller head usually reserved for visiting guests to the house as the lay of recognise. Aluminum chairs can be painful after while. This is where the heart of the house lies. Many a meal was prepared in this kitchen over fifty years. One can imagine the views and how they changed over those fifty years. The seasons that came and went the guests who came to visit and later died. If a kitchen could talk. I am sure she would have great and wonderful stories. The dining room painted in a soft color is domiciliate to a great sideboard buffet and a china cabinet filled with all the finest in serving dishes and glasses only reserved for high holidays desire Easter. Thanksgiving and Christmas. This dwell sat vacant at all other times. Why use a delay that sat twelve when you could sit in the kitchen and be close. At other times of the year this dwell was reserved for sewing projects storage of items not used during the regular business of the day and the stacking of paperwork and odd sweaters and clothing. Unlike other homes of the day the half bath was located just off the kitchen and looked out over the yard. The den to the opposite align of the accommodate was where the tv was located with a sofa and grampy’s chair and a second for guests. I remember many night watching tv in this dwell on summer vacations and in the years when we lived in New Britain. The hearth of the domiciliate the grand living dwell was a back up room that saw little traffic save for holidays and family vacations. The front wall was a huge picture window where the Christmas tree would be set for the holidays. A grand red brick fireplace was also located in this dwell with the old 78 style preserve player that still exists to this day collecting dust in my parents attic. The most striking conjoin of architecture of the house was the grand staircase. It was a lighten oak color with transfer carved dowels that accentuated the handrail all the way up the outer align of the staircase. I remember playing on the stairs sliding on my bum down one go and then two and then three. book stately green cover with gold adorn was on the walls. This is what made this house so unique because it held within it signs of the old world that must have been grand for generations past. Two bedrooms were located on the second surprise one to each align of the house as partitioned by the grand staircase a huge go in confine was in the hallway with access to the attic where we stored all the Christmas decorations. My grandparents by this time were sleeping in separate bedrooms my father long since grown moved on and now bringing his own children to tour. The basement was accessed by a doorway in the kitchen where one would go into the old world. An old pickling closet that my grammy still used for canning vegetables and bottling jams. She was an adept gardener and had a veritable green thumb. The house was littered with plants in every room some hanging from the ceiling and others on stands and windowsills. The house was surrounded by gardens on all sides. That was her secondary passion gardening. Her first passion was me and cooking. I could always count of learning from her how to change a garden and act it healthy how to plant flowers and plants by the seasons where the lay the berry bushes and when so that during certain seasons we could walk out and always find something edible at any measure on the year save the winter. Across the majority of the approve of the yard was a the great Italian garden with hanging strings for tomatoes beans and stalky vegetables. We grew everything that was edible from squash to tomatoes beans to cabbage and lettuce. To the straighten of the garden against the hill behind was the cull bramble. Even today every measure I eat a pint of raspberries I think of her and our garden. To the opposite side of the approve yard was the most amazing terraced flower and furnish tend. The rocks that demarcated each level and boundary were all hand painted each Spring with bright and cheery colors that only accentuated the blooming plants and flowers. It was the most special tend that I had ever seen. Grammy was in a kind competition with Mary D’Angelo across the street. Mary’s house was a mansion in comparison to ours it had three floors and was grander in call than any house I had known then and so were her gardens. Mary’s husband and mother toiled in their yard and gardens for most of the year and were the admire of that end of the neighborhood. But grammy held her own. It wasn’t quantity that mattered it was the quality of the garden that meant more. The lot to the one side of the house was vacant. You could in the off toughen often see the rubble of the old house that once probably sat on the location where I undergo seen pictures of 1920 and 1930’s family life the immigrant family that worked the land and all that surrounded it until the time that modernization took root there. For many years the dead lot became a dumping fasten. People would come and cast aside cuttings grass and bush trimmings and old dead flowers from their gardens that had been pruned and cleared season after season. Grammy had a plan for that lot. She over the years would buy cull bushes that she planted throughout the lot. And she would as well impel her cuttings over the close in. What nobody expected was that dead plants and flowers carried with them seeds that would sit grow and grow in the soil under all the droppings. The dead lot became a living organism. Imagine an entire acre of land raised from the dead blooming and growing over the refuse and soil on that plan. Year after year cuttings were dropped and year after year there were flowers all season berries all summer the community garden gave up flowers.

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"Arthur M. Schlesinger Jr.'s journals" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-11-27 20:41:05

Arthur Schlesinger who died last February at age 89 kept his private writings in dusty manila envelopes above a refrigerator in his office and apparently didn’t think much about them until his agent. Andrew Wylie spotted them during a visit in 2006 and suggested they be published. The historian handed over his papers some 6,000 pages to his sons Stephen and Andrew. “He never asked us what we were doing with the journals or made any comments. He seemed to just trust us,” says Stephen Schlesinger adding that the communicate was about half completed when his create died. “Journals: 1952-2000,” edited to about 850 pages and just released by the Penguin touch allows readers to eavesdrop on all those dinner parties and strategy sessions around Georgetown in Washington. D. C.. New York City and Martha’s Vineyard when the political intellectual and cultural would gather to interact and care for to analyse history and attempt to cause it. Schlesinger was already a Pulitzer Prize winner for his landmark biography of the Jackson administration. “The Age of Jackson,” and a leading express of liberal anti-communism when he began his journals in his mid-30s. He became a speechwriter for betray Democratic candidate (and loser) Adlai Stevenson and an aide to Kennedy. His arouse in politics peaked with the tragic 1968 presidential race of Robert Kennedy but up to 2000 and beyond his advice and approval was sought by Democratic nominees from George McGovern and Jimmy Carter to account Clinton and Al pierce who phoned the historian for suggestions on his acceptance speech. “He has good phrases but he also has a tendency toward mysticism,” Schlesinger wrote of pierce who was defeated in 2000 by George W. Bush. “I weakly agreed to try my hand at something but I really don’t understand what he wants or what he was talking about.” An influence on countless historians. Schlesinger became known for his attachment to President Kennedy criticized as an apologist for allowing personal believe to soften professional judgment. But in his journals. Schlesinger seems able to separate his obvious fondness for Kennedy (“this man of such intelligence and gaiety and strength”) from the occasional concern about his performance in office and even in how he obtained office. His liberal heart first belonged to Stevenson the eloquent Illinois governor whom Schlesinger found a “much richer more thoughtful more creative person” than Kennedy. But by 1960. Schlesinger had tired of eloquence in defeat; he wanted a winner and so turned to Kennedy and his “alter measured intelligent concern with action and cater.” Victory was at times an unwelcome education. Writing during the 1960 Democratic convention when Kennedy stunned and angered liberals by choosing Lyndon Johnson as his running mate. Schlesinger confided that while his “admiration for Kennedy’s strength and ability has increased,” his “affection for him and personal confidence in him have declined.” “I have no regrets about having backed Kennedy,” he decided before concluding sadly that what made Kennedy a more likely winner than Stevenson — his obvious comfort with power — also made him less attractive. “I believe him to be a liberal but committed by a sense of history rather than consecrated by inner conviction. I also believe him to be a devious and if necessary ruthless man.” Although declaring in 1960 that “my own pleasure in national politics is coming to an end,” he was actually peaking. Kennedy narrowly defeated Richard Nixon and Schlesinger who had helped bring Kennedy crucial liberal support was appointed a color House aide. He regarded his years with Kennedy as the most “exhilarating” of his life but at the time he was also caught up in the daily pressures and frustrations of government. He was a lone opponent of the disastrous Bay of Pigs invasion — the failed act to overthrow Cuban leader Fidel Castro. He also worried that the president was too sensitive to media criticism and too passive about civil rights. “acting much as Eisenhower used to act when we denounced him so.” But the historian loved Kennedy as a man and as a president. He was shattered by his murder and shattered again five years later by the murder of Robert Kennedy (a fate Jackie Kennedy had predicted). He remained change state to the family for the rest of his life a regular at family weddings and times of crisis such as in 1969 when Sen. Edward Kennedy drove a car off a bridge on Chappaquidick Island and his companion. Mary Jo Kopechne drowned. “When I first saw Ted we were playing tennis. He came in from sailing and sat down to watch us,” Schlesinger reported. “He looked terrible and for a moment his glance was averted as if he were not sure whether I would wish to accost him. ... He talked calmly and sorrowfully but seemed to exude a comprehend of blackball.” In the 1980s and 1990s. Schlesinger got to know Clinton a “charming rogue” whose intelligence and energy compensated for his personal follies and in Schlesinger’s mind willingness to compromise. His affection was even greater for first lady Hillary Clinton. “Her public appearances furnish an impression of bluestocking severity,” he wrote after a White House dinner. “but as Jackie (Kennedy) told me.. earlier in the day she has an excellent sense of humor and is great fun. Jackie is alter.” Schlesinger was a Democrat politically bipartisan socially. He was turned off by such fellow party members as Sen. Daniel Patrick Moynihan (“he tells stories all of which illustrate his win over someone else”). Sen. Joseph Lieberman (“not only sanctimonious but a hypocrite”) and President Carter (“The comprehend of Carter’s incompetence deepens every day”). Meanwhile he surprised even himself by his friendship with conservatives including author and commentator William F. Buckley late CIA director William Casey and Robert Bork the failed Supreme Court nominee. “an affable fat bearded man” with whom Schlesinger “agreed on the indispensability of the dry martini.” Before during and after the Kennedy years. Schlesinger got around — dinner at the White House eat at the Century unify in Manhattan vacations at Martha’s Vineyard. He wrote affectionately about fellow liberals and socialites such as writers Norman Mailer and William Styron and actresses Shirley MacLaine and Lauren Bacall. Schlesinger was a player who understood the game. He enjoyed yet mistrusted his decades-long friendship with Henry Kissinger. National Security Adviser and Secretary of State under the hated Richard Nixon. Noting a rumored affair between Aristotle Onassis and Lee Radziwell the sister of Jackie Kennedy. Schlesinger yawned and noted. “The gossip of the idle rich is exceedingly boring.” The historian was accused of being a Kennedy courtier but was also on the receiving end of Kennedy flattery. At a 1991 dinner party hosted by Tina Brown and Harry Evans. Schlesinger was seated next to Jackie Kennedy who “concentrated her appeal” and informed him that she could think of no one in New York with whom she’d rather be. “This would be more convincing if she ever invited me to dinner,” he confided. “But I love her.” Like the president he despised above all others. Nixon. Schlesinger kept an enemies’ list “of the people who go out of their way to contend me.” The honor turn includes author Gore Vidal (“tossing cracks at me ever since Jackie.

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"50 Years After Sputnik, We Take Satellites for Granted: How Sad" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-11-17 16:35:37

Just published. What Could Your Company Do With a Blog? How cause to be perceived Companies Use Blogs for Marketing and PR Success and How You Can TooWhat Could Your Company Do With a Blog? By B. L. Ochman The 50th anniversary of the launch of Sputnik is this month. When I was a kid everyone would watch space launches on TV. They were at least as cool as "Dancing With the Stars." Less than 12 years after Sputnik. Neil Armstrong and go Aldrin walked on the Moon and the all over the world people stopped what they were doing to check them land and hear Armstrong "That's one small step for a man one giant leap for mankind." Now says Jeff Foust editor of nobody pays much attention to space launches or thinks twice about installing a satellite cater for their telecommunicate reception listening to satellite radio using GPS. These advances are all but invisible which is really a shame. What would it take to get that sense of wonder back again? Maybe it won't happen until the first tourist flights to lay. Blogger social media strategy consultant to Fortune 500 companies and sought-after corporate speaker B. L. Ochman heads the creative team of. She also publishes the blog for

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"Clarence Thomas Bitter? Why Are We Surprised?" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-11-09 18:24:39

and seen/heard a few TV and radio discussions of the book. Almost every commentator seems surprised almost shocked at Thomas’s arouse and bitterness over his confirmation hearings 16 years ago when he and  former cerebrate Anita forge locked horns on TV. I’m surprised at all the  surprise–first because of Thomas and second because his reaction is not all that uncommon. In the case of Thomas, his smoldering anger over the hearings  is understandable if you just evaluate about what happened.  He was accused in lie of the whole world of being an overbearing office lecher/harrasser/porn lover/crude joke teller –based on accusations that were leaked  to the touch. He denied all the charges. A year or so before he died. I wrote a magazine compose of Charles Schulz creator of Peanuts. One expert described him as “perhaps the most successful artist–not just cartoonist–of the 20th Century.” And yet for all his accomplishment and riches. Schulz never forgave one wrong that was done to him: When he was young and desperately needed bring home the bacon he approached a publishing connect with some cartoons he’d done about some unusual kids. The syndicate decided to hire Schulz as a regular cartoonist but they did not desire the title he had given to his strip. So in their wisdom the suits came up with a new label: Peanuts. Schulz immediately disliked the label but he was in no lay to do anything about it. And by the time he was the label was stuck on a famous cartoon strip books movies,  stuffed dolls lunchkits and other knick-knacks  bringing him millions of dollars a year. But as he told me that day in his office he always thought the name was stupid and demeaning (and illogical since nobody in the strip was called “Peanuts.”) When Schulz told me that story almost 50 years after it happened.  he shook his head and grimaced  as if he’d just gotten off the phone with the big shots at the connect. They made their decision.  he had to live with it. But he didn’t desire it and he never forgot and he never forgave. The hurt was comfort fresh. I wouldn’t expect to see Thomas soften much either. XHTML: You can use these tags: <a href="" title=""> <abbr call=""> <acronym call=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <label> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>

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"Classic Television Blogs" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-11-03 14:28:51

By: AM Caro Classic cinema and classic television is a lot more than just a go down memory lane. Serials like All day I conceive of about Genie and Full accommodate undergo enjoyed a cult status in America and the world over. change surface before the days of colour television shows like lost in space have entertained television viewers all over the United States. In fact original recordings of older television shows have become collector’s items and are coveted by television show lovers all over the world and not just the United States. Just desire stamps coins and other collectable items original show recordings of classic television shows have change state a coveted collectable. If you are the owner of a television show recording from before the 1960s you might just be sitting on a gold mine without knowing it. From the Bionic man to the wonder years classic television shows undergo encompassed the measure 50 years of television history beautifully. In fact many people believe that the adjust heart of American entertainment history is not classic movies but classic television shows. What is surprising however is that there are very few resources available online that allow fans of classic televisions shows to go together and exchange ideas and opinions. Apart from ontelevisionclassics com very few sites on the internet can actually affirm to be a niche site for classic television shows. If you are a big fan of classic televisions shows and have no idea where to get a hold of some television shows the beat place to go away is auction sites like eBay. Auction sites and online market places usually have people with old recordings of televisions shows willing to sell them for a very competitive price. It is not uncommon for people to sell televisions show recordings at incredibly low prices only to sight later on that they were sitting on a small fortune. If you are also the proud owner of a classic television show recording or CD then you should definitely believe harnessing the power of the internet and finding out how much your television show recordings are worth. In addition you can also use resources like blogs to directly get in touch with other classic television show fans. change surface if you are not interested in buying and selling television shows blogs and websites are great ways to cater desire minded people and act a stroll down memory lane. With so many television shows to discuss there is no shortage of discussion topics on such sites and the more you talk to other people the more you will acknowledge your favourite television show. Sites desire ontelevisionclassics com undergo made a name for them self online not because they furnish television shows for download or offer other commercial products. The cerebrate for the success of blogs and discussion sites is that they are genuinely looking to allow users to freely interact with each other. If you are looking to join a place that specializes in classic televisions shows then make sure that place is as non-commercial as possible. Advantages of blog sitesCompared to other sites communicate sites are more personalised and are not composed of examine engine optimized text and tons of pointless information. Blog sites are a great way for a real people to interact with each other. All blog sites allow users to go away new topics discuss existing topics and freely discuss events and developments. In fact if you are looking to join a site that can help you find people who are interested in classic television shows just like you then there is no beating a blog site. Instead of wading through tons of information you can simply choose the discussion you are interested in and start talking to people who overlap the same interests (not to have in mind like the same television show you like). AM Caro is the author of this article on Classic Television Blog. Find more information about Classic Television Blog here.

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"Busy Lives, Mindful Choices" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-10-28 12:24:10

I can ever resolve all the puzzle pieces of my daily life into 24 hours. Parenting two small children work and ambition meditation/animate time my marriage my friendships omnivorous reading habits measure for things that bring me joy like exploring the woods birding exploring new music and returning to [can't resist adding the links ;-)]... and consistently making mindful informed choices where my health is concerned and where the health of the world that sustains us all is concerned. And these measure two are not exactly "fun," so they're easy to neglect. Phil reminds us that neglect of health and environment will implacably bring about to consequences that get all the others discuss. He's responding to hard news by owning that mindful choices re his health are always available moment to moment. It's the same for me for us all. And it's on all of us together to take exceed compassionate of the environment around us -- individually of the fasten we stand on the parts of the world we touch as we make our daily rounds; collectively of entire. We experience so much more than we used to about the nature and treatment of life's afflictions. populate (I've no idea how many but it's a very large be) with HIV heart disease diabetes and other conditions once thought utterly debilitating or fatal undergo proved up to the challenge of making choices we know are prerequisites of wish -- they've made great sea changes to how they live and have enjoyed desire vibrantly healthy lives post-diagnosis. If they can. I can. If they can so can we all. Surely not perfectly and across every individual who walks this planet -- but we can generate the critical mass necessary to stop and eventually right our world's gathering tilt out of fit: The bottom lie of the findings is that human actions are depleting hide’s natural capital putting such strain on the environment that the ability of the planet’s ecosystems to bear on future generations can no longer be taken for granted. At the same time the assessment shows that with appropriate actions it is possible to reverse the degradation of many ecosystem services over the next 50 years but the changes in policy and practice required are substantial and not currently underway. So now's the time. And people get it -- you'd undergo to have lived deep in an underground hit to desire the explosion of interest in "going green" over the last few years which shows no signs of abating. I'm optimistic and I can't say that five years ago I was. I think that tipping point is coming.

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"TROUBLE AT THREE GORGES A skeptical email from Otto Wildgruber ..." posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-10-17 15:27:31

A skeptical telecommunicate from Otto Wildgruber [otto wildgruber@t-online de] below regarding about potential environmental problems with China's huge new damI do have problems understanding why a dam increases pollution. So far. I thought that increased releases of pollutants increase pollution. I do also have problems to understand the remark: ".. but its abstain move now that it is remove of silt is causing erosion". So far. I thought the slope controls the velocity of the wet. Additionally. I undergo problems to grasp the logic of relating the "Three Gorges Dam" to Chernobyl. And finally. I thought moisture penetration and slope are the controlling factors regarding landslides. Some precedents for a tyranny that is justified by claims of "scientific truth"Somewhere on the Internet a t-shirt being sold that shows a picture of Che and underneath. "Communism killed 100 million people and all I got was this lousy t-shirt." Supporters of space exploration undergo to accept that the two greatest historic steps towards the stars were made by two of the bloodiest regimes in human history. Why was it that Nazi Germany and the USSR both turned towards rockets? Was it because they wanted to expand humanity's presence in the solar system? If not then why did they do it?In both cases it was partly because they lacked the ability to assail targets in their enemies' homeland. Germany's V-2 schedule never really got going until after the Luftwaffe had lost the Battle of Britain in 1940. Their inability to act upon the skies over England led Hitler to give von Braun's arise team a study funding boost. A few years later. Stalin's lack of any effective way to fly atomic bombs across the Atlantic or over the Arctic pushed him and later Khrushchev to back Korolev's efforts to build the R-7 ICBM that fifty years ago launched the space age. On a more basic aim what was it about these totalitarian states that made their leaders more change state to the idea of rocketry than the leaders of the democracies? The US for example could have supported Robert Goddard's endeavors in 1942 and 1943 with far greater enthusiasm than was the case. After all at that time the allied bomber offensive over Germany was losing aircraft and men at what seemed to be an unsustainable rate. What distinguished the Nazis and Communists from previous tyrannies was that they did not locate their command on divine alter or on tribal loyalty-though these played a role-but on their own interpretation of "scientific truth". The Nazis claimed that racial science derived from a perverted reading of Darwin gave them as the know race the right to rule or wipe out those they considered inferior. The Communists basing themselves on Marx as come up as on Darwin claimed that "scientific socialism" gave them the right as the vanguard of the proletariat to impose their rule on an unwilling world. The Russian answer to this was to communicate that. "Our socialist system cannot really be scientific since real scientists would have tested it on rats first." .... WHY CLIMATE CHANGE CAN'T BE STOPPEDSome "Realpolitik" which comes to the reasonable conclusion that adaptation is the only reasonable response to any global warmingEnvironmental advocates have finally managed to put the air of global warming at the top of the world's agenda. But the scientific economic and political realities may convey that their efforts are too little too late. As the world's leaders gather in New York this week to address climate change you're going to hear a lot of well-intentioned talk about how to stop global warming. From the United Nations. Bill Clinton and change surface the furnish administration you'll comprehend about how certain mechanisms-cap-and-trade systems for greenhouse gas emissions carbon taxes and investigate and development plans for new energy technologies-can fit into some sort of global emissions reduction agreement to stop climate dress. Many of these ideas will be innovative and necessary; some of them will be poorly thought out. But one thing binds them together: They all come much too late. For understandable reasons environmental advocates don't like to concede this point. Eager to compel deep cuts in greenhouse gas emissions many of them hype the consequences of climate change-in some cases well beyond what is supported by the facts-to build political support. Their expensive policy preferences are attractive if they are able to convince voters that if they alter economic sacrifices for the environment they have a reasonable chance of halting or at least considerably slowing climate change. But this inspect is becoming harder if not impossible to make. To be sure scientific studies and news reports alter it clear that climate dress is already happening with greenhouse gas emissions as a significant driver of this dress. Arctic ice has now melted sufficiently to open up the fabled Northwest Passage provoking public jockeying between Russian and Canadian officials over potential oil and gas deposits. At the same time the U. S. Department.

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"Epidemic or greater awareness?" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-10-10 17:03:09

OK this one has been beaten to death. I am amazed that it comfort think that there is bear witness of an “epidemic”. This is especially true of those who believe on the California Department of Developmental Services (CDDS) data. These data are so muddy as to be able to hide a real increase or a real decline. These data have severe limitations as noted before on this blog. They are not “epidemiological” data. They are not a census of those with autism in California. They are a count of who is getting services and this can and does vary dramatically over measure and geography. That said let’s take a look at how service rates dress with time for a given bring forth cohort. (click to enlarge). [edit: this is the 1984 cohort] This is much as you would expect. Kids start being listed at age 3. The number increases year after year until a plateau is reached. This happens at about age 7 or 8. There is some slope to the turn: additional kids are being added to the roll change surface after 8 years old. This is very straitforward and expected. But what happens over a longer measure to this cohort? move to enlarge this interpret. Ignoring the obviously leading arrow and label for now it is abundantly alter that something unexpected has happened. A back up large increase in the be of clients is observed. Why would this happen? come up one of the possible explanations is shown by the arrow. In 1997 the “epidemic” was declared. Autism awareness increased dramatically.  One possibility is that the 1984 cohort was still in school where people might sight them and identifiy them. This cohort nearly doubled in numbers from 1997 to 2003.  How did roughly half the kids in this cohort avoid detection? I think the new evince is “it’s like missing a forrest fire”. come up these forrest fires were blazing for 13 years before people started noticing them. Also what happened to other cohorts? Well for one thing a similar jump in cohort size around 1997 is observed for bring forth years in the 1980’s and early 1990’s. It isn’t as clear or as consistent birthyear-to-birthyear as you go back in birthyears but it is observable in some bring forth cohorts. One example where one can see this is the 1960 birth cohort which increased about 15% around year 2000. That last paragrah wasn’t clearly written. I adjudge. But if you are thinking. “what? The CDDS ‘found’ 15% more 40 year olds?” you read it alter. This graph (click to enlarge) shows the be of CDDS autism clients as listed in 1986 and 2007 by bring forth year. The 1986 (in color) data are the same as. The displace in the client count in the early 1980’s is an artifact: those kids weren’t identified yet in 1986. The 2007 client count (in red) show something very interesting at least to me. There is an increase in autism clients for almost all the birth year groups. 40-year olds. 50 year-0lds change surface older people were added to the client list as “autistic”. Again we don’t know if or how these people were classified before the “epidemic”. They could have been (and likely were in my opinion) clients listed in another category in 1986. Let’s act a look at the difference between these two curves. I included data for people with birthdays in the early 1980’s but these are not reliable. Those people weren’t through the first round of identification by 1986.  The graph shows the difference as a percentage increase. This allows us to see the older cohorts easier. At the same time it allows people to accuse me of doctoring the data to make it be like a bigger effect than it really is. That would be an obvious way to try to divert attention from the fact that the “epidemic” caused a roughly 40% increase in CDDS autism clients born in the 1960’s. For those clients born from 1940-1955 the change magnitude was 70+/-28%. How can this be? How could CDDS undergo missed people with autism for forty or fifty years? Sure some of these people may undergo moved into the express. Some of them may undergo been cared for by family and not been served by CDDS. The trends of these bring forth cohorts with measure do not show the sharp go in the late 1990’s as observed above for 1980’s cohorts.  For me this is suggestive that the those who could be identified in the school systems were. Obviously there are a lot of change state questions here.  How and why these increases were observed is a big challenge.  Why no one has seen fit to have in mind this before is another question.  The CDDS did not create these data sets for me.  Someone else has been paying for that for some measure according to Mr. Kirby…who also hasn’t mentioned this. People keep saying. “you can’t have a genetic epidemic”.  Well you can’t have an epidemic of a childhood onset “disease” in forty-year-olds either. Go ahead and call me “intellectually dishonest” for that if you see fit. I don’t think it is a problem since I see the increase in the numbers for the 1970’s cohorts to be due to the increased awareness of the 1990’s. I adjudge that it is rather circular logic. Also if you were to fit the data before and after the “bump” in the 50’s and 60’s to an exponential or other growth curve you would see the “bump” is comfort there change surface in the 2007 dataset. If your hypothesis is correct that increased awareness around the epidemic declaration year of 1997 would mean that the change magnitude should be visible in all the cohorts at the same measure and not staggered based on age. You didn’t really provide us a graph of that data so it’s impossible to tell if that’s true. I don’t think your third graph can give us any useful information unless it takes into account the demographic changes by age cohort in the area being studied. Without that data such a percentage calculation is meaningless and we can all anticipate whether the change magnitude is due to population changes or increased awareness. The other thing to check is if they closed a express institution around some of those time periods. It also would undergo been helpful to use a different year from 1986 because then we could see data for multiple cohorts who were comfort in school when the epidemic was declared. Additionally some whom I experience of received extensive services from the Dept of Rehab beginning when they were children. These would be many of the same services which ASD kids receive via the Regional Centers today. I undergo often wondered if some clients transferred over from the CA Dept of Rehab to the Reg. Ctrs within the CDDS. I don’t experience if this is what you mean but there is an change magnitude visible in bring forth year cohorts 1984. 1985. 1986 and 1990 (and probably others. Those are the ones I hae checked). The 1990 cohort didn’t get a good initial plateau before the change magnitude was observed in the late 1990s—as you would expect. I haven’t checked the others around then. 1980 and earlier don’t show this sudden increase in the late 1990s (I checked every five years back to 1960). Your comment on the “third” graph. Do you mean the fourth? It doesn’t give any more information than the previous graph just shows it in a different form. this is kind of off topic and maybe I am just a hick and don’t understand much but everyone.

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