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"VA A LEGITIMATE BATTLEGROUND IN ?08" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2008-03-16 00:00:32

Introduction : Virginia presents Democrats with the opportunity to reclaim a small administer of the South. The measure two election cycles have shown a significant shift in the voting habits of Virginians making the express contentious in all races including the presidency. The increasing population of Northern Virginia (most notably in Fairfax County) and the continued evolution of the suburban and exurban vote toward Democrats (in such places as Loudoun County and Prince William County) undergo been essential to victories in top-of-the-ticket races in 2005 and 2006. Increased Democratic performance in suburban and exurban areas has been evident all over the country. In 2006. 16 of the 30 Democratic pickups in the accommodate were in districts made up of suburban or exurban areas. While increased turnout does demonstrate the important of population growth in suburban/exurban areas and demographic shifts throughout the state recent Democratic victories in Virginia cannot be traced exclusively to winning the “turnout contend.” While turnout has been increasingly high in the measure two cycles this increase includes both Republicans and Democrats. The Webb/Allen Senate oppose saw an unprecedented increase in turnout for an off-year election. Previous off-year elections saw turnout of between 35 percent and 45 percent where the 2006 Senate race saw a turnout of nearly 52 percent (51.9). Webb’s final margin of victory however was much slimmer (less than 0.5 percent) indicating that GOP turnout accounted for a substantial harmonise of the increase in overall statewide turnout. While it remains important for Virginia Democrats to stay competitive with an effective GOP turnout operation. Democratic victories can instead be directly attributed to an increased performance in suburban and exurban areas that were solidly Republican in the past. Turnout will again increase in 2008 due to the Presidential oppose and former Governor Mark Warner’s presence in the Senate race and the presidential election; if current trends hold. Democratic prospects are increasingly positive. Democratic Performance in Suburban and Exurban Areas : More important than the growing population of Northern Virginia the increase in Democratic performance in suburban and exurban areas has helped Democrats obtain electoral victories. Exurban areas constitute the outermost boundaries of any metropolitan area such as Loudon County. Loudoun represents the fastest-growing county in the country. Between 2000 and 2006. Loudoun’s voting-age population increased by 73,000 people. This increase has changed the demographics of the county bringing more middle categorise and well-educated voters who support democratic candidates into the area. In 2000. Al pierce received just 41 percent of the vote in Loudon but by 2005. Tim Kaine won Loudoun with 53 percent. Democratic gains continued in 2006 when Jim Webb won Loudoun County with 50% of the vote. Prince William County has also undergone a similar evolution. The county is comprised of primarily metropolitan and suburban areas and the voting-age population has grown by 58,000 since 2000. Previously. Prince William was solidly Republican voting for the GOP consistently at all levels; Republican performance in top-of-the-ticket races between 1996 and 2004 was at 54.5 percent; however following the population surge and subsequent demographic shift the county voted for both Tim Kaine and Jim Webb in the last two election cycles. Democratic voting has only grown as demonstrated by the fact that Jim Webb outperformed Tim Kaine receiving more than 51 percent of the choose in Prince William County. President : Of course all of this information shows that Democrats can win statewide races in Virginia. Though turnout in 2004 was above 70 percent and the express went to President Bush by 8 points as mentioned above the population has been growing and this growth has changed the population demographics in suburban and exurban areas bringing increased Democratic performance; in 2006 registration across the express was higher than that of 2004 by 38,000 voters. These growing areas contributed greatly to Jim Webb’s victory in 2006 over a popular incumbent Republican. Turnout is expected to increase even more in 2008 which should make the state more competitive in the presidential race than it has been in previous cycles. attach Warner’s presence on the ballot is not to be underestimated as it will further increase Democratic turnout and aid Democratic candidates all over the ballot. Senate : attach Warner’s announced candidacy was the best piece of news that Democrats could undergo hoped for; with him on the ballot Democrats are considered the favorite in this go. Warner is popular in both suburban and rural areas which is unusual for a Democrat and as a result his presence on the ballot can only benefit other Democrats. Increased Democratic performance in moderate-leaning suburbs is a recipe for success for Warner whose message often appeals to moderates of both parties. Republicans on the other transfer appear to be headed for an ideological showdown if Congressman Tom Davis and former Governor Jim Gilmore face off in the primary. Any ideological squabbles among Republicans will only change magnitude support for Warner who ordain preach bipartisan efficiency over ideology. VA02 : This district has about a 3 percent marginality going in either direction. Democrat Phil Kellam lost by less than 3 percent (less than 5,000 votes) to incumbent Thelma Drake in the House race in 2006. Jim Webb lost the govern by nearly the same margin (5,700 votes) in the Senate race that year. At the same time in 2005. Democrat Tim Kaine carried the govern by 3 percent (4,100 votes) when he won the gubernatorial election. This shows that the district is competitive and that both parties have the potential to win this lay. The key to Tim Kaine’s victory was that he outperformed all the aforementioned Democrats in the Virginia Beach area which is the most populous in the district. Kaine won a brush aside majority of the vote (50.6%) in Virginia land; Phil Kellam fared slightly better than Jim Webb but he cut well short of Kaine’s numbers (47.8%) and losing in the Virginia land area largely accounts for Kellam’s margin of blackball. The govern is undergoing changes that may favor democrats; Virginia land is undergoing increased development bringing an influx of potential Democratic voters to suburban and exurban areas of the district. VA10: While the govern has been kind to statewide Democrats for consecutive cycles and is trending Democratic. accommodate challengers can’t necessarily believe on coattails. Democratic candidates in top-of-the-ticket races consistently performed in the low-to-mid forties in 2000 and 2004. Al Gore received 41.3% in 2000 and John Kerry 44.2%. However. Tim Kaine and Jim Webb have carried this district in successive cycles as the demographics of Fairfax and Loudon County have become more advantageous. Though Kaine and Webb carried the district it hasn’t translated into close House races thus far. Incumbent Frank Wolf defeated Judy Feder by 16 percent in 2006 and received more than 57 percent of the choose. While the trends in the county declare that this should be a close race. Feder comes into the race a heavy underdog. VA11: The 11th district is already considered competitive as seven-term incumbent Tom Davis won just 55 percent of the vote against a second-tier candidate in 2006. If Davis decides to challenge attach Warner for the Senate seat this seat will change state a top target for Democrats in 2008. The 11th district is made up of Fairfax and Prince William Counties both of which are areas where Democrats act well. The district has shown strong Democratic leanings at every aim over the past three election cycles. John Kerry came within a percentage inform of winning this district (less than 4,000 votes) and Tim Kaine and Jim Webb won the district by more than 10 percent in their respective races.

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http://accomackdems.wordpress.com/2007/10/27/va-a-legitimate-battleground-in-08/

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"More Twisted Journalism- WaPo Misses the Facts in Their Report On Iraq" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-12-15 15:23:16

BAGHDAD. Oct. 26 Their lie of tan Humvees and Bradley Fighting Vehicles creeps through another Baghdad afternoon. At this walk an excruciating slowness they drive to see everything hoping the next manhole cover the next rusted barrel does not enclose another bomb. A few bullets pass overhead but they don't worry much about those. "I dislike this road," someone says over the radio. They forbid look around. The streets of Sadiyah are deserted again. To the alter power lines slump down into the dirt. To the left what was a soccer field is now a feed of cast aside combusting and smoking in the sun. Packs of skinny wild dogs trot past walls painted with slogans of sectarian hate. A assail crater blocks one lane so they cross to the other align where houses are blackened by blast shops crumbled into bricks. The remains of a car bomb serve as hideous public art. Sgt. Victor Alarcon's Humvee rolls into a vast share of knee-high brown sewage water -- the soldiers label it Lake Havasu after the Arizona spring-break party sight -- that seeps in the doors of the vehicle and wets his boots... An area in Baghdad called "Little Venice" where "The sector we soldiers patrol is known unaffectionately as "Little Venice" because of the dark cook rivers of sewage that backwash from broken pipes. The biggest fear in these parts isn't sniper fire or IEDs but a flat degenerate that forces you to wade through the reeking fluids." This is interesting since this is Scott Beauchamp’s unit in Iraq. Maybe "Little Venice" has changed its name to "Lake Havasu"? The WaPo paints a bleak and hopeless picture of the current situation in Iraq. But sadly they don't have any facts to back them up. The WaPo missed the reality of the current situation:** Sectarian deaths down 70% in Baghdad** Car bombings drink by 65% over last year** Attacks on civilians down 59%** Attacks on Iraqi forces down 62%** Attacks against journalists down 70%The in their report on "Lake Havasu" in Baghdad.* * * * *Here is more news from Iraq:Either Iraq is the Titanic sinking or a country finally finding itself... Iraq's National Symphony Orchestra performs before an audience in the hall of Hunting Social unify in Baghdad October 25. 2007. (/Mohammed Ameen) The following is a Haider Ajina translation of the news from on October 24. 2007: Sectarian violence declines 70% Iraqi Commander of operation in Baghdad announced that sectarian violence has declined 70% in Baghdad over the measure 8 months and Iraqi forces ordain take over 50% of Baghdad’s security by years end. Brigadier Abood Qanbar announced in a joint pres conference with General Raymond Odierno. ‘The be of sectarian violence incidences has declined 70% car bombs declined 65% since the start of operation rule of law (the surge) in Mid February’. Qanbar added. ‘Violent incidences against civilians have declined 59% against Iraqi forces have declined 62% against journalist undergo declined 70% in the months after implementing operation Rule of Law by the Iraqi defense ministry with cooperation from the interior ministry and support from the Multi National Forces (MNF) as of the end of September.’ Qanbar presented data showing the decline in violence as well as the change state in physical alter done by car bombs. Damage due to car bombs has declined 81% and change state in civilian wounded was 80%. Iraqi forces undergo conducted operations in Al-Fadhil govern in Baghdad from September 17 until October 12. This resulted in the deaths of 48 terrorists and the go of 58 families to their homes’. U. S. command Odierno of MNF-Iraq said’ “Iraqi forces are create from raw material to take over security responsibility for ½ of Baghdad by the end of the year. MNF undergo developed 34 security centers all over Baghdad which ordain be gradually turned over to the Iraqis. MNF will act to train Iraqi security forces so they may eventually take over security. Odierno credited the decline in bombings and violence in Baghdad to agreements and accords reached all over Baghdad. Iraqi conductor Mohammed Ameen Azaat of Iraq's National Symphony Orchestra takes a bow after finishing a piece as they act before an audience in the hall of Hunting Social unify in Baghdad October 25. 2007. (/Mohammed Ameen) The Multi-National compel Iraq website is also reporting on the progress website reported: WASHINGTON. Oct. 24. 2007 – A movement toward peace that began in mostly Sunni areas of Iraq now is moving into Shiite areas as well a senior commander said in Baghdad today. ()"move together by the desire for peace and prosperity the Iraqi people are overcoming differences to give a better future for their children," said Army Lt. Gen. Raymond T. Odierno. Multinational Corps Iraq commander. In a news briefing. Odierno and Iraqi army Lt. Gen. Abud Qanbar said they are upbeat about the security situation in the Iraqi capital. Both said the shift of Iraqis to supporting the coalition and government is continuing. The alter began in the Sunni“dominated Anbar province but now is spreading to Baghdad. Odierno said. "All sectors of Baghdad have witnessed a change magnitude in terrorist activities compared to the beginning of Operation Fardh al Qanoon," Qanbar the commander of the Baghdad Operations dominate said. "This has brought life to normal in many parts of Baghdad." Overall violence in Baghdad is drink 80 percent over the same period in 2006. Qanbar said. Overall terrorist attacks are drink 59 percent and assassinations are down 72 percent. The Iraqi command said the holy month of Ramadan which ended Oct. 12 was much different this year. Odierno agreed. "Iraqis celebrated Eid al Fitr (the feast ending Ramadan) last week in their parks restaurants and streets," he said. "During last year's Eid this was not the case. The security improvements made this possible. Attack levels continue their downward trend that began in June and are now at their lowest level since January 2006."The general said that improvised-explosive-device attacks extremists preferred method of terror are down more than 60 percent in the past four months and bombs that do go off are less lethal. Iraqi citizens tell Odierno they see and feel a difference. "Whenever I jaunt around Baghdad. Iraqis express me how much safer they conclude in their neighborhoods" he said. Good news from Iraq is beginning to trickle through the crowd media. Operation rule of law or the surge is having solid measurable positive results. The blow up is not only defeating terror and sectarianism it is also instilling unity ownership self-confidence and the rule of law in Iraqi society. Hope (which was never lost amongst Iraqis) is the strongest I am seeing reading and hearing since our liberation of Iraq in 2003. Iraq’s different sects religions and races are returning to the harmony in which they lived before the Baathist and Takfiri disturbances. Iraqi security is becoming stronger more confidant and most of all receiving the give of the average citizen. They are doing this while respecting the rule of law and serving their citizens thanks to our training and relentless hard bring home the bacon of our men and women in Iraq. Xanthippas: So lets see if I got this right. If the US forces fails to protect cultural assets like that museum that got fictionally looted you snark at them for failing to assay American lives to do so. If the US forces does protect and foster cultural assets like the orchestra you snark at them for risking American lives to do so. Your side of the argument really has this internal.

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http://gatewaypundit.blogspot.com/2007/10/sectarian-violence-down-70-in-baghdad.html

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"Morning polls: Is Mitch McConnell really that vulnerable?" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-12-09 13:52:06

Most revealing of course is that McConnell cannot go across 50% against any candidate. Being under 50% is supposed to be a write of vulnerablity for an incumbent as undecideds tend to break for challengers but failing to gather a majority against unknown candidates is definitely a sign something is do by. The most likely explanation is that McConnell is being Dashle-ized. His new partisan position in DC is having a bad force on his image back home. Reid is suffering from the same phenomenon in Nevada but he is not up for re-election until 2010. This is as much a sign of the weakness of Kentucky Republicans than of McConnell's personal vulnerability. GOP Gov. Fletcher is about to lose in a landslide in ten days and are hurting the GOP mark dramatically by reminding voters of the extent of Fletcher's corruption. And Hillary should not be a weight on the book if she is the nominee given that actually undergo her ahead in the state! Two weeks ago. Rasmussen had Clinton leading Giuliani by 7 and Thompson by 15 in its. This confirmed the previous polls Rasmussen had taken as well as other polls by other institutes that showed Clinton inching ahead of Giuliani in national match-ups. But are a dramatic turnaround: Giuliani now leads Clinton 46% to 44% and Clinton is only ahead of Thompson 47% to 45%. Yes those are only one set of numbers but the trendline is not good. Though Rasmussen points out that over the past 6 weeks of polling. Clinton leads Giuliani 47% to 44% and Thompson 49% to 41%. The other bottom line: Until last week the three major Democrats led all twelve match-ups against the four major Republicans in the latest Rasmussen polls. Now two such "last match-ups" favor the Republicans: Obama-McCain and Clinton-Giuliani.

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http://www.campaigndiaries.com/2007/10/morning-polls-is-mitch-mcconnell-really.html

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"Global warming and petroleum geology" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-11-17 16:36:11

Although I am primarily and fundamentally a sedimentary geologist. I do have some experience applying geologic principles for oil companies. I am by no means however an experienced prospector or seasoned petroleum geologist. I’m saying this up front to try and continue off any comments about my limited experience in the industry. This post is about a perspective within the context of my own scientific training not a statement intended to represent a (mythical) monolithic believe people desire. Also. I think it’s important to bequeath the distinction between petroleum geology and the petroleum industry. Geologists study the history of the Earth and realize climate has changed often in the past due to natural causes. The hide’s climate naturally varies constantly in both directions at varying rates and on many scales. In recent decades global temperatures have risen. Yet our planet has been far warmer and cooler than today many times in the geologic past including the past 10,000 years. Actually that is an excerpt from the American Association of Petroleum Geologist’s (AAPG) 2007 on climate dress. I’m sure many of you have either construe a comment similar to that or heard someone say something like that at some inform. AAPG’s statement is better than it used to be thanks to its members. Here’s what the AAPG President about the issue in walk 2007: Members have threatened to not re-create their memberships if … AAPG does not alter its position on global climate change. And I have been told of members who already undergo resigned in previous years because of our current global climate change position. Either way the rationalization is that nothing needs to be done. The AAPG statement itself does not explicitly say these things but I comprehend them often from some in petroleum geology. These lines of reasoning are nonsensical and do not deserve yet another deconstruction on a communicate. The “official” lay of the powers-that-be at AAPG is also not the subject of this post. What I do want to address is a different perspective on climate change that is grounded firmly and very specifically in petroleum geology. At this point I’d desire to briefly analyse some petroleum geology basics. Like most natural systems the origin generation migration and accumulation of hydrocarbons is an extraordinarily complex affair. The transformation of organic matter (mostly tiny marine life. dinosaurs) into some write of hydrocarbon requires elevated temperatures and pressures. If long-term net deposition of deposit buries sufficient volumes of organic matter to the “oil kitchen” about 60-120° C there is a chance the organic matter will transform into hydrocarbons (it is obviously more complicated than this but I want to keep this brief…find out ). Liquid or gas hydrocarbons are mobile and ordain move upwards through permeable layers of the stratigraphic column (construe a recent affix about this at Olelog ). Most of the oil naturally formed on Earth has escaped from the subsurface over very long time periods. However if a seal rock (i e. impermeable) and a “trap” exist large volumes of oil can hive away in relatively porous sedimentary rocks. These large accumulations are what we have discovered and from which we extracted oil. How desire undergo subsurface accumulations of oil been around? Well it really depends in which sedimentary basin you are looking. Different basins have different ages of petroleum source rocks and different ages of maturation/migration. Here’s a quote directly from a hereafter referred to as K&U [ More than 90% of original recoverable oil and gas reserves in the world has been generated from obtain rocks of six stratigraphic intervals–(1) Silurian (generated 9% of the world’s reserves). (2) Upper Devonian-Tournaisian (8% of reserves). (3) Pennsylvanian-Lower Permian (8% of reserves). (4) Upper Jurassic (25% of reserves). (5) lay Cretaceous (29% of reserves) and (6) Oligocene-Miocene (12.5% of reserves) A organic-rich source move back and forth can sit around for some measure before actually generating hydrocarbons. The plot below also from K&U shows geologic measure on the x-axis and petroleum reserves (as a percentage) on the y-axis (click on it for a slightly less fuzzy version). Note the lower dashed line…this is the age of maturation of the world’s oil. Here’s what K&U say about this (italics are exploit): conservative and say that the oil extracted thus far took on average about 20 million years to mature and hive away. PERTURBING THE SYSTEMThe hide’s carbon cycle has various sources and sinks that interact over various time scales that collectively go carbon among the spheres (litho bio hydro atmo etc.). Storage and assign of CO2 among the components drives the system an equilibrium. As we know however a state of adjust equilibrium is never attained. The system is dynamic it is in a state of constant adjustment always responding to various perturbations both external and internal (e g. feedbacks) to the system. In only 150 years we’ve released CO2 that took 20 million years to accumulate. Put another way the duration of release is a mere 0.000008% of the duration of accumulation. The bear witness for “excess” CO2 input to the system is the measured change magnitude in CO2 concentration in the atmosphere (i e. not all of it is being cycled approve into sinks). In other words from the geological perspective the current rate of CO2 concentration in the atmosphere is extremely rapid. Does this imbalance in cycling of Earth materials significantly disturb the system? My petroleum geological perspective leads me to answer “yes indeed”. One might lay out that the Earth has experienced rapid increases of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere in the geologic past and survived just fine. The confusion of a planet’s survival with that of effects on habitability notwithstanding let’s consider the best known example a rapid global warming from the geologic past - the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM). Although this occurred 55 million years ago records indicate the global warming occurred in less than 10,000 years [ ]. The temporal resolution of archives going back that far is inherently lower thus making it very possible the event occurred over an even shorter time period. In other words the system was significantly perturbed. Included among the effects of this perturbation was an change magnitude in global temperatures by ~5° C [ ) the point for this affix is that something happened and it had significant effects on the biosphere. Furthermore it has been postulated that it took 100,000 years for the carbon cycling system to “recover” from the abrupt change magnitude in CO2 (i e. for it to be absorbed in the ocean) [ The whole inform of this affix is to present a perspective of global climate change that is rooted in petroleum geology that populate may not hear about. Yes of course the science of understanding petroleum systems is intimately intertwined with the business of production (oil companies) and consumption (you) but I would reiterate that they are also distinct. Petroleum geology is just that — it is geology. While some may cite the long-view afforded by a geological perspective as a reason to not be concerned about the effects of climate dress. I think that it is quite the opposite. Perturbations to Earth’s.

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Related article:
http://clasticdetritus.com/2007/10/27/global-warming-and-petroleum-geology/

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"swp pull organisational putsch on galloway" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-11-09 18:25:30

There is a crisis in Respect and we are appealing to you to back up us resolve it. Please read this appeal and show your support by signing it. There is now overwhelming bear witness that the democratic structures of Respect are being circumvented and marginalised. Some national officers are attempting to unilaterally by-pass the existing democratic structures of consider and to witch-hunt socialists including the SWP. In request to confirm this accusations are being made that the national officers assort is dominated by the SWP when only 7 of its 16 members are in the SWP. It should be also be noted that the National Council of Respect is composed of 50 members only a minority of whom are members of the SWP. There are attempts being made by some national officers to refuse Student consider groups any representation at the national conference on the same basis as they were elected last year despite the decision by the national officers earlier this year that Student Respect groups would be allowed to choose delegates to conference. In lift Hamlets hundreds of new members undergo been registered in the measure month many of them in huge batches brought to office by a small number of individuals and virtually all at the concessionary membership rate. The decisions of a properly constituted grow meeting has been overturned by a margin of just one choose on the Tower Hamlets committee attempts undergo been made to dismiss elected officers and a becharm hunt of the left has begun. In other places members’ meetings are being called without informing the existing officers and SWP members are being excluded from them. Even more seriously there is a campaign of vilification of the left in Respect that can only result in Respect’s destruction as a serious left wing compel. We label on Respect members to demand that the forthcoming national conference label a stop to this race and re-establish the democratic culture of consider. We label on all members to stand together in defence of Respect as a democratic radical left wing communicate capable of mounting a principled contend to New Labour. Respect at the Crossroads (The Galloway version) A very serious situation has developed inside Respect in particular over the past two months. It comes at a time when the need for a broad pluralist organisation of the left has never been greater. The political conditions facing consider today are even more favourable than when we launched the Coalition in January 2004. Millions remain opposed to the war and occupation of Iraq and Afghanistan. Brown has tried to show a different face from Blair but his give for furnish remains. change union members in key unions desire the CWU postal workers union are disgusted with the government. Union members are openly campaigning for the political finance no longer to go to the Labour Party. Where the RMT and the FBU led other unions ordain inevitably go. The RMT are discussing forming their own celebrate and standing their own candidates in the GLA elections next May. Across the country young people attend political events on issues such as the war climate change the arms change and racism in their thousands. Muslim communities continue to face the lash of popular prejudice. All of these people be a political party to displace together the growing dissatisfy with the political establishment and especially with New do work. Unfortunately the good bring home the bacon undertaken and achieved by consider over the measure three and a half years is now in danger of being completely undermined by the behaviour of the leadership of the SWP. On the fasten many SWP members have worked alongside other members of consider to great cause. However it has become alter over the measure two months and the last two weeks in particular that the actions of the SWP leadership be the very existence of Respect as a broad pluralistic and democratic left alternative to New Labour. Since the earn from George Galloway which echoed some of the criticisms others had been making earlier was sent to the members of the National Council on August 23 the SWP leadership undergo demonstrated that they are incapable of engaging in change state and stamp discussion with those who have disagreements with them. The arrange of events in this crisis is contrary to the ethos which consider has been seeking to develop and which is reflected in its constitution: “Respect is a broad change state and inclusive organisation… It is politically pluralistic and ordain back up all its members to act in its campaigns and activities”. George Galloway’s earn criticised aspects of the way consider has been run and proposed some changes in particular the appointment of a new affix of national organiser to bring home the bacon alongside John Rees the National Secretary. Behind the national organiser proposal was an act to carry more diversity to consider and to start to restore confidence in the way the national office functioned. This proposal - and indeed the letter itself - was responded to with great hostility by John Rees and the leadership of the SWP who characterised this as a part of a right go contend on the left in Respect. Salma Yaqoob’s enter “Challenges for consider” refuted this and the outrageous allegations of communalism which the SWP leadership had raised. In fact the real air is whether Respect develops as a pluralist organisation in which no single component move dominates or controls. The National Council on September 22 unanimously reaffirmed the principle of accountability throughout the organisation including the elected leadership and elected representatives. The National Organiser issue was debated for several hours by the NC on September 22 adjourned to September 29 where agreement was eventually reached that the post would be of equal status and there was consensus that Nick destroy act up the affix on a temporary basis if he could. Following the circulation of an email by John Rees calling for suggestions about the National Organiser’s lay. Alan Thornett added his give to the proposals from Victoria Brittain and George Galloway that cut act up the affix until conference. cut was instructed by the SWP Central Committee to withdraw his label. When he refused he was expelled from the SWP. At the same time Kevin Ovenden and Rob Hoveman were instructed by the SWP Central Committe to resign their full-time employment with George Galloway’s office. Had they resigned it would have seriously disrupted the work of our only MP’s office. When they refused they were also expelled from the SWP. On Monday October 15 a national officers meeting with a built-in SWP majority voted against cut taking up the National Organiser’s affix and set aside the air until conference. The same meeting voted against appointing Ian Donovan and Ghada Razuki to the Conference Arrangements Committee (CAC). The following night. Tuesday October 16 there was a meeting of the (CAC) at which Linda Smith the national head of Respect raised the air of the constitutionality of the CAC itself (which has never been endorsed by the NC). She also asked for the membership and financial records of the student members. She was unable to get such records or end the problem of the CAC itself. The same night. October 16 there was a major dispute in Tower Hamlets consider grow at which the business of the meeting could not be concluded. Most of the 110 members show on the night left the meeting believing that.

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"Paul Wellstone, Prophet" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-11-03 14:30:06

"Democrats bring home the bacon For Solutions; Republicans commune The Problem ordain Go Away" - Actor212 "Liberals got women the right to choose. Liberals got African-Americans the alter to choose. Liberals created Social Security and lifted millions of elderly people out of poverty. Liberals ended segregation. Liberals passed the Civil Rights Act the Voting Rights Act. Liberals created Medicare. Liberals passed the Clean Air Act the Clean Water Act. What did Conservatives do? They opposed them on every one of those things.. every one! So when you try to hurl that denominate at my feet. 'Liberal,' as if it were something to be ashamed of something dirty something to run away from it won't bring home the bacon. Senator because I will pick up that denominate and I will feature it as a label of honor." -- Matt Santos. The West go Paul Wellstone died 5 years ago today. I still get tears in my eyes thinking of him. Because it has turned out to be so prophetic. I thought I would post his Senate floor speech regarding military action in Iraq on October 3. 2002 just before he died. He was in the middle of a tough re-election race. His numbers went up after his vote against authorization. People who said Paul was "too far left for me" always add that they still voted for him because they trusted him. If you undergo the come about to ever at the end he thanks his staff and makes it clear that they in no way tried to influence his decision to oppose the Iraq war resolution shouldering the responsibility alone. (Ed. Note: I added the video for your convenience) ________________________________________________________Regarding Military Action Against Iraq: October 3. 2002 Mr. President as we turn later today to communicate our policy on Iraq. I want to act a few minutes to depict my views. The situation remains fluid and Administration officials are engaged in negotiations at the United Nations over what approach we ought to take with our allies to convert the brutal and dictatorial Iraqi regime. Our consider here is critical because the administration seeks our authorization now for military challenge including possibly unprecedented pre-emptive go-it-alone military action in Iraq change surface as it seeks to garner support from our allies on a tough new UN disarmament resolution. Let me be alter: Saddam Hussein is a brutal ruthless dictator who has repressed his own populate attacked his neighbors and remains an international outlaw. The world would be a much exceed place if he were gone and the regime in Iraq were changed. That's why the U. S should fall in the world against Saddam and not allow him to fall in forces against us. A go-it-alone come allowing for a ground invasion of Iraq without the give of other countries could give Saddam exactly that chance. A pre-emptive go-it-alone strategy towards Iraq is wrong. I oppose it. I give ridding Iraq of weapons of mass destruction through unfettered U. N inspections which should begin as soon as possible. Only a broad coalition of nations united to disarm Saddam while preserving our war on terror is likely to succeed. Our primary cerebrate now must be on Iraq's verifiable disarmament of weapons of crowd destruction. This will help keep international give and could change surface eventually prove in Saddam's loss of power. Of course. I would accept this as would most of our allies. The president has helped to direct intense new multilateral pressure on Saddam Hussein to allow U. N and International Atomic Energy Agency weapons inspectors back in to Iraq to care their assessment of Iraq's chemical biological and nuclear programs. Saddam clearly has felt that heat and it suggests what might be accomplished through collective action. I am not naive about this process and much work lies ahead. But we cannot reject out-of-hand Saddam's late and reluctant commitment to comply with U. N disarmament arrangements or the agreement struck Tuesday to mouth to implement it. We should use the gathering international resolve to collectively confront his regime by building on these efforts through a new U. N disarmament resolution. This debate must consider all Americans because our decisions finally must undergo the informed consent of the American people who will be asked to bear the costs in blood and treasure of our decisions. When the lives of the sons and daughters of average Americans could be risked and lost their voices must be heard by Congress before we alter decisions about military challenge. alter now despite a wish to support our president. I believe many Americans still have profound questions about the wisdom of relying too heavily on a pre-emptive go-it-alone military approach. Acting now on our own might be a sign of our power. Acting sensibly and in a measured way in contrive with our allies with bipartisan Congressional support would be a sign of our strength. It would also be a sign of the wisdom of our founders who lodged in the President the power to dominate U. S armed forces and in Congress the cater to make war.

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http://simplyleftbehind.blogspot.com/2007/10/paul-wellstone-prophet.html

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"Transcript Of An Interview With Geologist Bob Carter About Global ..." posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-10-28 12:24:52

Radio National - Counterpoint 11/04/2005 [This is the print version of story ]Climate Change ResponseMonday 11 April 2005 Presented by Bob Carter. Research Professor of Geology. James Cook University. Townsville answers your queries arising from our Climate dress show of Monday 4 April. TranscriptMichael Duffy: measure week we devoted our entire program to sceptical views of climate dress. Our next guest is also a global warming sceptic—Bob Carter is a geologist and environmental scientist an adjunct research professor at James Cook University and he specialises in climate dress. I’ve asked him on to the schedule to act to some of the letters and emails that you our listeners sent us after last week’s show. Bob welcome to Counterpoint. Bob Carter: Thank you. Michael it’s a pleasure to be here. Michael Duffy: A big theme in our listener response was a sense of indignation that we should even be giving measure to this viewpoint. Listener Steve Phillips wrote. ‘How is it that a responsible media outlet like the ABC can run a story desire this years after the most rigorously peer-reviewed scientific collaboration in history—the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate dress—which concluded categorically that climate change is happening and humans are causing it?’ And we had a lot of other letters on the same lines. Bob many listeners clearly believe there’s a scientific consensus here. Do you think they’re right?Bob Carter: Well coming to the first move of your question. I point out that the people you’ve had on your programs such as Bill Kininmonth and Aynsley Kellow are not people whose views you dismiss lightly. account used to be director of the National Climate Centre and Aynsley Kellow’s written a book on the history of the Kyoto Accord and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s role in achieving it. Such persons and myself as you introduced me are often termed ‘sceptics’ and that’s meant to be a call of denigration but I’m a scientist…it’s my job to be a sceptic. Michael and those who are not sceptical towards human-caused global warming or indeed towards any other fashionable environmental concern are acting in unscientific manner…religious even. Michael Duffy: So how many populate like you are there amongst the ranks of climate experts?Bob Carter: You mentioned the word ‘consensus’ and asked whether there is a consensus on human-caused global warming. It’s an interesting word because it’s a sociological concept not a scientific one. You don’t for dilate hear populate say that there’s a consensus that the sun will rise tomorrow morning. Rather clearly understood scientific principles enable us to predict that that ordain indeed be the inspect. So when you comprehend populate claim a consensus for some opinion or other…or another example is invoking precautionary principle either of those statements are of themselves an admission that the science is uncertain and as Hermann Goering might undergo said at that inform. ‘you should arrive for your gun’. Science doesn’t care whether or not there’s a consensus about something. Science only cares whether statements are consistent with known facts and established theories whether statements are testable and whether they undergo predictive power. There isn’t yet any command theory of climate and nor is there likely to be in the near future. So there cannot be a true consensus about predictions for climate change. Is there a social consensus on human caused global warming? come up yes on some things. For example all competent scientists accept that carbon dioxide is a greenhouse gas but there are huge differences of opinion about the be of warming that ordain be caused by increasing the carbon dioxide in the atmosphere; there’s no consensus about that at all. And in fact overall the bear witness suggests that any warming resulting from that create ordain be minor. So if I was to ingeminate your question…not say ‘is there a consensus?’ but to ask directly ‘has human-caused global warming been able to be measured yet?’—the answer has to be ‘no’. That’s despite the expenditure of more than $50 billion trying to show that. Michael Duffy: Perhaps the most common exposit that underlies a lot of the emails we’ve received and also a great broach of what I’ve construe about this is that the climate was pretty stable until the Industrial Revolution. Is that true?Bob Carter: It’s absolutely untrue. It’s one of the big misconceptions in this whole debate. There’s abundant geological bear witness and it comes especially from cores beneath the ocean sea bed and cores through the ice sheets of Antarctica and Greenland that in the past climate has varied on a very wide number of scales. Everyone is familiar for example with the 11-year sun spot cycle.

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http://petesplace-peter.blogspot.com/2007/10/transcript-of-interview-with-geologist.html

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"BI Market Consolidation?" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-10-23 16:24:37

The BI market has been remarkably fragmented for a desire measure. According to IDC the market overlap of the top 5 BI vendors (Business Objects. SAS. Cognos. Microsoft. Hyperion) barely changed over the period 2004-2006 from 46% to 48% and non-top-15 vendors consistently made up over 30% of the merchandise. But -- following the trend of other technology markets -- it seems that the turn of increasing dominance of a handful of vendors has finally been unleashed. (1) The leaders are breaking away from the rest of the case. The M&A activity we've seen in 2007 (Business Objects buying Cartesis. Oracle buying Hyperion. SAP buying Pilot and Outlooksoft etc.) has increased the dominance of the top players pushing their combined market overlap past 50% for the first measure. (2) BI and PM convergence is accelerating the process. The business intelligence and performance management markets (including financial applications) are clearly converging. This means a larger market fewer vendors that can provide a complete offer and hence increased consolidation. (3) The importance of independence is increasing. As BI deployments change state larger and more organizations implement a strategic approach being change state and independent becomes more important. I accept independent vendors are better able to concentrate on the best possible implementation of BI rather than having to back up any particular database middleware or set of applications. They also tend to be the innovators in the industry (e g. Cognos' early move into EPM. Business Objects' recent moves into and ). In summary: the market is consolidating and the independent vendors have the most to obtain. The latest growth figures from Business Objects (over 23% year-over-year in 2Q 2007 roughly manifold the predicted market growth) seem to approve this up.

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http://www.timoelliott.com/blog/2007/09/bi_market_consolidation.html

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"Entry #124 - On 10 Baby Things I Couldn't Live Without" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-10-17 15:27:59

Among all the baby stuff I undergo for Gavin here's a few that I really appreciate having and would really recommend to moms and moms-to-be. And what's beat is that most of these stuff are gifts from friends and family. 1. Diaper Genie - With 2 kids (Gavin and Sophie) stacking up a lot of dirty diapers this wonderful gift given by my friend Owie during my baby shower really helps lessen the stinky smell of pee and poop in the dwell. And it's really easy for me to sell all the used diapers especially when we need to undergo our garbage segragated (for recycling). 2. Electric converge handle - When I had Jenna. I really REALLY had a hard time breastfeeding. And I had a manual pump which really made nursing a nightmare for me. Not only was the affect painful it was tiring as come up. So I ended up breastfeeding for only a month. With Gavin. I wanted to make things different so I was determined to breastfeed. But I've been having some latching problems since I think he's kinda getting use to using the bottle - he's actually breastfeeding and bottle-feeding at the same time. So I opted to pumping milk instead. The electric handle makes it really easy for me to furnish Gavin as much as breast milk as I can without that much annoy. 3. Boppy Pillow - This item has been one of my favorites so far since it makes nursing really comfortable both for me and Gavin. I really can't get him to feed while lying down so I end up carrying him during feeding measure. With the Boppy. I don't have to exert that much effort holding him - especially in the middle of the night - and at the same measure placing Gavin in a cozy position. 4. Fisher Price Infant-to-Toddler Rocker - I'm always in the living room during the day but with Gavin to be after this rocker gives me the alleviate of keeping a watchful eye on the do by without having to haul his bassinet in and out of the dwell. And its portable so I could just change surface it anytime we don't use it for easy storage. 5. Snugli - I don't own a car so commuting anywhere with a do by really seems next to impossible. But having this Snugli (from Sophie's hand-me-downs) really is very efficient. Gavin just sleeps in it while I go shopping or when we're on our way to see the doctor. And there's no be for me to be hauling a stroller especially when taking the bus or a cab.6. Aveeno Lotion for do by (Fragrance remove) - Gavin's starting to remove desire a glide (from his chest down to his legs) and the adulterate said that I could only use either Vaseline baby oil or unscented lotion. come up. I'm not into do by oil so I've been using Aveeno for Gavin. And it works really good because his climb's starting to be better - no more climb flakes on my bed. 7. change state Sleeper - My friend. Jen gave this to me for my baby shower and I've been using it eversince I brought Gavin home. It helps prevent him from turning over on his belly while he's asleep since he's quite a squirmy do by - less risks for SIDS - eventhough he can alreade increase his continue. 8. Body Suits - With one-zip dressing up Gavin is hassle-free since he gets fussy whenever he's being changed. I don't undergo to think about pajamas bottoms and long-sleeves tops since body suits cover everything that need to be kept warm. 9. Johnson's Disposable Washcloths - It's been difficult for me to furnish Gavin a bath - I don't think he likes the water that much - not like Jenna who would wade in the water for as desire as possible until bathtime's over. He cries once his body touches the water despite the ameliorate water temperature. So bathtime's always a rush so these washcloths back up change magnitude the time we spend in the tub because its soap-ready once dipped in wet and I could also use it to clean him up afterwards - and I don't have to worry about hanging up used washcloths to be dried. 10. Wearable Blanket - The defy's starting to change and for the past few days the temperature's been in its 50's at night. But thanks to this blanket it keeps Gavin change when he's asleep. And it has a lot of leg dwell so it doesn't restrain him from moving even when he's zipped up inside the blanket. I don't need to worry about tangled blankets now that he keeps kicking everything wrapped around him at night. And he's so cute in it - he looks like a big marshmallow. I'm a care to an adorable little girl and to a wonderful baby boy. I'm married to the only man in the whole world who could alter me smile anytime. They are the reasons why my life has meaning. I like falling in like and being in like. I'm move of a very non-conformist family. I am a daughter. I am a sister. I am a friend. I am a listener. And I do not follow the norms of the society. populate say I'm a snob but in reality. I'm just not a people-person. My whole being just shuts up when I'm surrounded by populate. I love to read and create verbally. I consider myself a realistic person but still accept in fairytales and happy endings. I do adjudge that I charge a lot but I acknowledge change surface the smallest gesture done on my behalf. Life maybe bitchy sometimes and.

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Related article:
http://mommychi.blogspot.com/2007/09/entry-124-on-10-baby-things-i-couldnt.html

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"REMEMBERING IMAGE COMICS" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-10-10 17:03:38

Remember when IMAGE COMICS was born (1992)?!! Sure it quickly kind of cut apart like wet create from raw material but when it first came on the scene there was an energy in the comics industry I had never witnessed before! react's top pencillers LEAVING react to go away their own INDY comic affiliate? What? That's pure madness! Nothing can survive against the Big Two (Marvel & DC)!! come up they didn't disappoint that's for sure. Creator's rights paperstock coloring art style and storytelling all changed. The Comics Industry itself was forever changed; good and bad. During that sign displace and a few years after. I was really digging alot of stuff coming from Image. It didn't hurt too that at the measure both Marvel and DC were churning out some horrible egest. Under the "visualise" banner were several "studios" each run by one of the 7 co-creators; Todd McFarlane. Erik Larson. Rob Liefeld. Marc Silvestri. Jim Lee. Jim Valentino and Whilce Portacio. Others soon followed like Dale Keown. Jae Lee and Sam Keith to label a few.[]Personally. I loved Jim Lee's "WILDSTORM" line of books! It's flagship call was WILDCATS helmed by Jim Lee himself who was at his peak of performance just coming off of a stellar X-MEN run. Man he was ON blast then! For a handful of years. Wildstorm books were my favorite bunch of books; Wildcats. aggroup 7. Deathblow. Grifter. Stormwatch. Backlash. Gen13 and DV8 to name a few. Of course looking back. I'm not as thrilled with them.. partially due to at the measure I was on the road to becoming an Illustrator and I loved the pencil bring home the bacon in those book so the ART was a large selling point for me. I suppose too it was merely a different time back then that fit come up with where I was in my life. Anyway while Image is no longer the same Image it once was (good and bad). I still be approve on that short energetic era with fond memories. I've posted some covers that I feel capture that initial break of excitement. Whew! Look at dem colors! That right there is a color palette defining the 1990-era of comics if you ask me!Funny enough the only book that's still going strong and for the most part still the "same" book is Erik Larson's assail DRAGON (#125 and going) and STILL drawn by Larson! cause is comfort alive (#175 and going) but has changed over the years beginning with McFarlane no longer handling artchores early on. All the other "1st/2nd Batch" Image Comics rarely made it to or past 50.... or 20.. or 10! While SOME others are technically still around they undergo been rebooted and retconned to the point of being different books themselves. And many moved onto other places - like Wildstorm is now being published by DC Comics. The only Image schedule I read now is THE WALKING DEAD which is a fantastic zombie series begging to adapted into an HBO series!(did anyone actually read this desire post?)

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Related article:
http://jimsmash.blogspot.com/2007/09/remembering-image-comics.html

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