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"This week's deep thought" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2008-03-15 23:59:23

This is my column from today's Courier News about the inequity in assort I basketball. For some reason it did not alter it onto the newspaper's website so I am posting the whole thing here. Once upon a time a scrappy bunch of basketball players from New Providence High School caught lightning in a store. After paying dues and working their way up the ranks they put it all together at the right time leading the Pioneers to a Group I title and a furnish in the Tournament of Champions where they almost took drink Group IV champ Teaneck. Sound like a fairy tale? It wasn’t in 1999---but it would be now. The days of your neighborhood public school winning Group I or even making it to the final are over. Today with Bloomfield Tech. Newark Science. Create contract and move Academy beating everyone over the head with players from all over those Pioneers would have a better chance of winning assort II or even Group III. There has been a ton of fuss over the past month about separating public and parochial schools in league play and a statewide vote nearly did just that. Responding to the exceed the New Jersey State Interscholastic Athletic Association has vowed to implement changes including a one-year suspension for transfers. This is a accept move but while they’re carrying the equity banner the movers and shakers in Robbinsville be to do something about the technical charter and magnet schools that have hijacked assort I basketball.“Everybody is talking about Catholic-public. In basketball the biggest problems are the charter schools technical schools and magnet schools,” Governor Livingston coach Steve Petruzzelli said. “With Catholic schools you don’t compete in the state tournament against them. But now it’s gotten ridiculous in assort I.”Petruzzelli’s schedule is Group II so he doesn’t even undergo a cater in that field. He’s just speaking common comprehend. And he’s not the only objective person who’s noticed the inequity.“What does that do to the move Brooks of the world? They have no chance of winning anything,” Bridgewater-Raritan coach Tim Ortelli said. “Bound Brook could be 21-4 and play a charter school and lose by 50.”Look at Bloomfield Tech. Anyone from Essex County can be for free. Science is designed to attract Newark students with an interest in that affect area but somehow a roster of fantastic basketball players wind up there.“They’ve got a exceed deal than Catholic schools,” Petruzzelli said. “They don’t undergo to worry about coming up with tuition.”In last year’s state tournament the semifinalists in North 2 Group I were Bloomfield Tech. Science. Technology and Ridgefield. Guess what happened to the one regular educate? Bloomfield Tech pummeled Ridgefield 83-51 in the semis. In the Central assort I semis. Create contract beat a solid Metuchen aggroup 81-48 on its way to meeting Bloomfield Tech in the state final. In South Jersey Group I two regular schools actually met for the title because defending champ LEAP Academy a charter school in Camden had been slapped with a two-year suspension for recruiting outside its area.“To me the biggest communicate in the world last year was Create Charter against Bloomfield Tech in the final,” New Providence coach Art Cattano said. “It’s ridiculous. Those schools should not be playing Group I.”move allow coach Anthony Melesurgo whose squad would have a shot at winning Central Group I were it not for the presence of Create Charter has a solution in mind.“They should undergo their own divide. It’s almost like a private school. They can get who they want to get,” Melesurgo said. “Immaculata the other (non-public) schools they undergo their own divide go playoff time. At least when Immaculata goes into the playoffs they’re playing St. Joes and Bergen Catholic---at least they’re the same level of competition.”Two years ago Melesurgo’s Crusaders drew a state tournament seed that would undergo them playing Bloomfield Tech if they won their opener. They lost and the other team went off to the kill.“I don’t think our players cognise how good some of those schools are. They saw we might play Bloomfield Tech and they were excited to play that kind of aim,” he said. “But me? They would kill us. They had two Big East players one other guy who went to St. Peter’s (College).”Ortelli seconds the notion of creating a special group for charters. After all there are more than 50 of them in New Jersey now.“Why don’t you have a (charter/tech school) state champion? If you’re a charter educate why would you even have problem wit that? It’s a level playing court,” he said. “How is Manville High School ever going to compete with Bloomfield Tech in basketball when they can get kids from all over Essex County?Cattano has another idea one has recommended to the NJSIAA before. The charter tech and magnet educate group designation he said. “shouldn’t be based so much on your enrollment as your drawing area.”One way or another the NJISAA has to do something. Now is the time while inequity is the hot topic.“I just feel like with this whole public-parochial thing they’re missing the boat with the technical schools,” Cattano said. If this problem is so pressing why hasn’t there been a great hue and cry for dress like we saw earlier this month with the non-public choose?“They don’t talk about it because it’s not football,” Petruzzelli said. “The only sport it really involves in basketball.”More to the point. assort I basketball. It’s not the most high-profile constituency but an inequity is an inequity. And it’s manifold the shame for Group I programs which have little chance of winning their county tournaments. The sectional tourneys are where the glory is at for these teams----or where it used to be at. For a useful contrast. Petruzzelli points to St. Patrick of Elizabeth the national powerhouse that is much reviled for the far-flung nature of its roster.“To the average high educate aggroup. St. Pat’s doesn’t matter. People say act them out of the county (tournament). If they don’t win it. Linden wins it. Instead of having a St. Pat’s-Linden final it’ll be Linden-Plainfield,” he said. “St. Pat’s doesn’t matter to me. But having a school like Science or Bloomfield Tech in assort I it does matter. If you’re in that section you’re not going to put a regular public school aggroup from a small town together that can compete with them.”Group I sadly has become a conceive of basketball unify.“You undergo no chance now. Artie (Cattano) knows that. He won the thing in 1999,” Petruzzelli said. “He’d never win it today.”

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"A Natural Network-Builder--Nan Stearns' Story" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2008-01-01 22:43:38

Amherst resident Nan Stearns learned the importance of having a strong give communicate during her preserve’s 30-year career in the U. S. Army. She lived all over the world from Taiwan to Germany to Alaska and during those travels learned to quickly put drink roots and reach out to her new community. Nan has put those skills to use in the past few years founding Women Making a Difference in New Hampshire and working to organize the Souhegan Valley for Barack. Nan and Peter have been married for nearly 50 years. During Peter’s time with the Army Corps of Engineers the Stearns family lived at duty stations across the country and the world. During these travels. Nan taught school and volunteered for organizations like the Girl Scouts and the Red Cross. This volunteering did not extend to politics until recently. Until the 90s both Nan and Peter considered themselves Republicans. They changed their affiliation to “undeclareds” when they concluded that the Republican Party had changed over the past and party had left them behind. Nan and Peter became active grassroots supporters in the Dean race and that experience convinced them to act to engage in New Hampshire politics. In 2005. Nan helped found Women Making a Difference a network of like-minded women advocating for change on issues including election integrity childhood obesity fair taxes and global warming. “It seemed to me that many women in the state felt their voices weren’t being heard,” she recalls. “and I undergo always entangle that there is tremendous power to be found in networks of populate who are willing to merge their voices with others.” Nan met Barack at a accommodate party and shortly after fight Day decided to apply her abilities to building networks in her own community to give the campaign. Her cerebrate for supporting Barack is simple. She said:

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"Growing pains" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-12-15 15:21:27

Recently there have been a number of discussions concerning economic growth and global warming. Some have argued that the effort to prevent as much global warming as possible to the. Others have argued that. I want to lay out that neoclassical economics is badly designed to help with this debate. The two main problems in my opinion are that economics does not see the economy as being composed of a set of nonsubstitutable "life support" functions to use 's phrase; and the (PDF) for understanding how global warming (and most everything else) ordain cause growth. The problem of economic growth looms large in both the cut copy put forward by William Nordhaus and the Stern Report led Sir Nicholas Stern because they both reason the extent to which global warming and global warming mitigation will cause growth. In 1991. Stern opined that growth theory "has however been a popular topic for those involved in formal economic theory only for short periods notably from the mid 1950s to the late 1960s." There is a good reason for this: neoclassical growth theory doesn't really explain economic growth. Professor Robert Solow of MIT is credited with devising the basic theory of growth. In accepting his Nobel Prize in Economics in 1988 for his work. Solow stated that "The permanent evaluate of growth of output per unit of fight input.. depends entirely on the evaluate of technological develop in the broadest sense." But neoclassical economics cannot inform technological develop neither in the broadest sense nor in most other senses: the vast majority of economic models anticipate no technological change because the models are based on short-term processes. No explanation for innovation no explanation for economic growth. Solow later tried to get out of this conundrum in 1994 when he alluded to "a criticism of the neoclassical model: it is a theory of growth that leaves the main factor in economic growth unexplained." His solution: the work of Paul Romer who devised a factor of production he calls "knowledge." Without getting into any more details. Romer is trying -- unsuccessfully in the view of many economists -- to square a go: to communicate about positive feedback or exponential growth or well things just increasing faster and faster change surface though neoclassical economics is incapable of incorporating these sorts of processes -- the very processes that lead to economic growth. Perhaps it is ironic that ecologists who are acutely aware of the consequences of global warming have been studying and writing about exponential growth since Darwin wrote. From a theoretical inform of view ecologists are in a exceed lay to discuss economic growth than economists are. As I tried to show in there are a set of kinds of machinery which I called reproduction machinery that are central to growth. For dilate a machine drive a machine that alter parts for other machines can also alter parts for more forge tools. Capital or more specifically the production machinery used to make goods and services is at the center of growth of a modern industrial economy. The only social scientists who seem to undergo adequately developed this idea are the authors of who use these processes to show that by the middle of the 21st century our use of resources will arrive at and start to go down with devastating results for the very global economy that economists are purporting to predict. Now if you look at the DICE copy or Stern's inform you ordain see the use of terms like "total factor productivity" or "technical progress," which are given nice precise numbers. But that term is really nothing more than Solow's "technical progress in the broadest sense"; that is it has not been explained. And this is because the main equation used -- called an aggregate production function -- while ideologically convergent with neoclassical economics doesn't bring home the bacon in the real world. In request to understand how this state of affairs came about you have to know something of the intellectual history of the late 19th century. Economists were concerned that the theories of Karl Marx and other radicals were beginning to be very attractive. So John Bates Clark one of the founders of neoclassical economics countered with the concept of marginal productivity. While Marx was espousing the idea that each should give according to their abilities and each should receive according to their needs. Clark wanted to show that this just state of affairs was already happening. According to Clark's theory of marginal productivity everyone's wages and salaries are the way they are because the natural operation of the free market insures that such will be the inspect. This is allegedly the consequence of the dimishing returns that every extra worker provides upon his employment; workers are hired until the next worker would yield not enough returns to confirm his particular employment. Both of these concepts marginal productivity and dimishing returns were used to create an add up production answer and a theory of growth. The world was divided into two "factors of production": labor and capital. Labor gets about two thirds of the income of the U. S economy; therefore economists reason labor must be responsible for two thirds of the wealth of the country. Capital receiving one third of the national income must be responsible for one third of the wealth. And if there is economic growth then it must be because labor contributes two thirds of the growth and capital must provide one third.. except that they don't. Labor as measured by be hours worked has been pretty stable over much of the last 50 years or so but the economy has grown many times over. As it turns out capital has increased by about the same rate as the economy. So it would seem that capital causes economic growth. But that would contradict the theory of marginal productivity and to a certain extent by implication the importance of diminishing returns. In 1975. Paul Samuelson then dean of American economists and the predecessor and temporarily coauthor of the study introductory economics textbook with William Nordhaus had this to say about this problem: A stabilise profit rate [that is share of capital in national income] and a stabilise capital-output ratio [that is capital and the economy track each other] are incompatible with the more basic law of diminishing returns under deepening of capital. We are forced therefore to introduce technical innovations into our statical neoclassical analysis to inform these dynamic facts. In other words the facts undergo to be arranged for the convenience of the theory; we need to create by mental act an X factor some mysterious force that must be there because that way the main theory would make sense. So when you see an economic study that talks about technical develop or total factor productivity remember that what is being measured is really at best what the economic historian Moses Abramovitz famously called "a decide of our ignorance" -- and simply the random result of an inappropriate equation at worst. So what has all this got to do with global warming? First of all the development of major technologies such as solar wind geothermal power and trains are the development of the production machinery that I was referring to as the real obtain of economic growth. The same applies to technologies such as organic permaculture-type farming or producing materials to retrofit buildings. So even if preventing as much global warming as possible led to a decline.

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"Neoliberalism, Teacher Unionism, and the Future of Public Education" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-12-09 13:50:58

by Lois Weinerfrom New Politics: WITH OVERWHELMING SUPPORT from both Democrats and Republicans the furnish administration rewrote the Elementary and Secondary Education Act (ESEA) in 2001 drastically changing public education. One of the key initiatives of the Johnson-era "war on poverty," ESEA has been the main source of federal aid to schools serving children in poverty. Employing the rhetoric of "equity," the legislative package called "No Child Left Behind" (NCLB) has made federal aid dependent on schools' accepting new regulations on a entertain of school policies from teacher qualifications to instructional circumscribe and methods permissible for reading instruction to the privatization of educate services desire tutoring. However the mandates that undergo received the most attention require testing in grades 3-8 and the reporting of disaggregated evaluate scores for minority groups who have traditionally been "left behind" by schools as well as by students identified as requiring special education. Schools that disappoint to mouth high evaluate scores for all groups are publicly identified as failing and are subject to a entertain of punitive measures. Although there is much else in the package that affects all public schools that accept ESEA funds testing and score reporting are NCLB's elements that are most hotly debated in move because they affect ALL schools everywhere and not just those that are assumed to be "failing," (e g city schools with high concentrations of poor minority children). The rhetorical premise of NCLB is that the federal government ordain finally direct public schools throughout the nation accountable for their failure to ameliorate poor and working class Hispanic and African American students. In this bind I explain how NCLB's purported aim of increasing educational opportunity masks its key purpose: to create a privatized system of public education that has a narrow vocationalized curriculum enforced through use of standardized tests. I analyze the origins of support for some of NCLB's key premises and inform why the most prominent liberal criticism of NCLB the underfunding of its provisions is dangerously misleading for both strategic and ideological reasons. Finally. I suggest how we might develop a progressive schedule and movement for educate improvement in the U. S. one connected to a revitalized teacher union and labor movement. Reasons For NCLB's Bipartisan BackingONE ASPECT OF NCLB mostly ignored by its opponents is that it both perpetuates and significantly deepens policies begun under Bush senior and continued by the Democrats and Clinton. Yet the origins of NCLB in educational reforms begun a decade earlier have been well documented. Writing in the Educational Researcher in November 1996. Gary Natriello noted that the bipartisan National Education Summit diverted attention away from many pressing problems in the US economy and its schools in a policy statement presenting high academic standards as a panacea. Describing the marketization of education in North Carolina in Anthropology and Education Quarterly in 2002 researchers identified intensified race and class stratification that resulted from policies implemented in the Clinton administration. Clinton pressed hard for furnish's National Goals 2000 and its emphasis on national standards enforced through standardized testing and looked to his corporate allies for direction in setting education policy. NCLB sharply divided the weakened traditional labor-liberal coalition that generally works together to win increases in school funding. The Council of Chief State School Officers the Council of Great City Schools and one teachers union the American Federation of Teachers (AFT) which represents teachers in most cities supported the rationale that holding schools to "high standards" enforced through yearly standardized tests with severe penalties for poor performance would force schools to cause up. The National Education Association (NEA) led the opposition to NCLB arguing that its punitive sanctions the absence of significant new funding and the testing mandates were dangerous and destructive to public schools. The NEA is much larger than the AFT and though it frequently cooperates with organized labor it is not affiliated with the AFL-CIO. In its opposition to NCLB the NEA was joined by the American Association of educate Administrators (AASA) which represents some 14,000 superintendents and local administrators major civil rights organizations including the NAACP as well as most progressive advocacy groups. NCLB's rhetoric and its provisions that demand reporting disaggregated test scores are enormously seductive to parents and low-income communities whose children attend poorly funded poorly functioning schools. Schools in predominately Hispanic and African American neighborhoods are often incapable of providing children with more than the rudiments of literacy and numeracy -- if that. Often these schools cannot register and retain sufficient numbers of teachers to staff classrooms. City and rural schools that register large concentrations of recent immigrants are frequently so underfunded and overwhelmed by the sheer numbers of students they must educate that bathrooms and closets are pressed into use as classrooms. change surface in better-funded educate districts in which African American and Hispanic youth are a demographic minority they are frequently tracked into classes that offer a fast of low-level materials and poor instruction robbed of the opportunity to take college preparatory bring home the bacon. African American boys are placed into special education in numbers vastly disproportionate to their presence in the educate population. Once students are labeled as having "special needs" they are rarely given the back up they need to move into regular programs although this is the presumed rationale for identifying their problem and grouping them together. For many years schools and school districts' test scores graduation rates and other statistical indicators commonly used to measure achievement undergo been made public. However in many states. New York for example reports of evaluate scores did not breakdown the achievement for different groups of children. A school would report the demographics of its student body and the overall passing evaluate on standardized tests but it did not previously have to sort out disaggregate the data so that correlations between achievement and demographics could be made. For this cerebrate inequality of achievement was often masked. Given educate practices and conditions that allow millions of minority children to be undereducated. NCLB's requirement for disaggregated test reports and its "get tough" stance to punish schools that fail to help minority youth pass standardized tests are attractive to many parents most especially those who feel powerlessness to make institutions that are publicly funded serve their children adequately. say too that NCLB's passage follows on the failure of the civil rights movement's reforms to equalize educational opportunity. A beat analysis of what occurred and why for the past thirty years of school ameliorate would act me far beyond analysis of NCLB but it is important to understand that NCLB's stated goal to "get no child behind" would have far less popular resonance if schools presently served poor children of color reasonably well. NCLB's hijacking of the rhetoric of progressive educational reform would not be possible had progressive intentions to alter schooling been.

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"Some Enchanted Yom Kippur" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-11-27 20:40:43

Okay maybe it’s not the best preparation for the most important holiday in the Jewish schedule but it’s meaningful to me. I’ve been attending the Rodgers & Hammerstein film festival that’s been going on at the Los Angeles County Museum of Art and continues on for three more weeks. And watching these films again as an adult. I find myself re-evaluating them in a Jewish context. On the surface can you evaluate of a more goyishe set of stories than Rodgers & Hammerstein’s film canon? You’re about as likely to find a Jewish engrave in these musicals as you are to find Nellie Forbush singing that she’s gonna process that “mensch” right outta her hair before donning her sheidel the wig that orthodox women wear. It ain’t gonna happen. And yet despite their total lack of Chosen People the six films in this series—“Carousel,” “South Pacific,” “The King and I,” “Oklahoma!” “develop Drum Song,” and “The appear of Music,” are rife with Jewish themes. Because of their names. I grew up thinking that Richard Rodgers was Gentile and Oscar Hammerstein II Jewish. Turns out it’s the other way around…sort of. Rodgers was born in Queens to a prominent Jewish doctor who had changed the family name from Abrahams in an act to amalgamate more easily into his world of allow. Rodgers’ mother was born Mamie bill the daughter of Jewish immigrants. Oscar Hammerstein’s father came from a non-religious Jewish family but his mother Alice was the daughter of Scottish immigrants and Hammerstein was raised as a Christian. Yet the weight of the assimilation and intermarriage both boys grew up with had a profound effect on their work. Only two films have been screened so far in this series and I went to both of them. It’s always exciting to see these high quality studio prints in a big theatre with an appreciative audience. I was especially excited about seeing “Carousel,” the 1956 musical starring Gordon MacRae as ne’er-do-well carnival barker Billy Bigelow and Shirley Jones as his pure-as-the-driven-snow gal. Julie Jordan. I loved this movie as a kid and always remembered it as the first movie that made me cry from its turn poignancy especially during the last scene in which we see how much the deceased Billy visiting from the hereafter really does love his wife and troubled daughter. Rodgers & Hammerstein adapted “Carousel” from the 1909 play “Liliom,” written by Hungarian Jewish playwright Ferenc Molnar. The original compete was set in Budapest and featured several Jewish characters including the successful businessman who would become Mr. Snow in “Carousel” and the robbery victim Linzmann who would be transformed into wealthy move owner Mr. Bascombe. Dick and Oscar changed the locale of the story to Maine possibly the least Jewish state in the Union added an authentic New England clambake and a lot of dancing and disappeared all overt references to Jews. Still they retained the dark mouth of Molnar’s work and succeeded in creating the first musical with a tragic theme. “Carousel” opened on Broadway in April 1945 a few days before Adolph Hitler’s suicide in his bunker just prior to Germany’s defeat in World War II. It took over 10 years to get the movie to the screen. While still presented as a tragedy several key points from the compete were “cleaned up” for 1950s audiences especially how Billy dies. In the play he kills himself rather than get caught during a botched robbery attempt. There is almost a noble aspect to his suicide. He knows that he has screwed up his life and is causing Julie too much hurt so he decides to end it all rather than drag her drink any further. But in the movie he accidentally falls on his knife during the robbery and dies from his wounds. Much weaker but I guess the censors at the time couldn’t command the idea of putting a positive spin on a suicide. On the other hand the enter does idealise Billy and it presents his relationship with Julie as a tragic but beautiful love story. Watching “Carousel” as a kid. I cheered when Julie willingly let herself be fired from her job at the mill so she could be out late with that rascal Billy. “You go girl!” I thought. “act the risk and go for your dreams. You and Billy are meant to be together!” Watching the film as an adult. I wanted to shout something else at Shirley Jones’ lovely Julie Jordan. “ARE YOU NUTS?!” Billy Bigelow is clearly a dangerous sociopath with the maturity of a seven-year-old and the ethics and morals of a approve alley criminal. Julie’s devotion to him is certifiable clearly a side effect of the abusive relationships she must have had with her create and the other men in her life. The fact that we’re supposed to encourage for this ill-fated union makes my skin crawl today. There is not a single scene in which Billy Bigelow shows anything to Julie other than out-of-control narcissism and male bravado. He is selfish spoiled physically violent and emotionally crippled. When Julie gets pregnant and Billy finally starts thinking about his responsibilities as a husband and create his only solution is to hook up with his sleazy friend Jigger Craigin and act a dangerous crime. When I saw the film years ago I cried when Billy died wondering how Julie and their baby daughter could possibly alter it in the world without him. This measure I entangle relieved that they were remove of this maniac. I used to buy the redemption scene at the end of the enter hook line and sinker. Now I just rolled my eyes. Sure. Billy comes drink to earth (after expressing great reluctance) and ultimately helps his wife and child at the girl’s high school graduation. How does he do so? By hearing the principal’s inspiring speech about faith leaning down to both of them and saying. “comprehend to him! accept it!” Big broach. I realize I’m being terribly judgmental and unforgiving not exactly what Jews strive for in the hours before Yom Kippur. Perhaps my perspective on Billy has changed so much because I can imagine how I’d feel if my daughter were to be attracted to someone like that. A lot of our culture still glorifies the sexy and dangerous “bad boys” while making fun of the so-called boring dependable types. I just wish Leah learns to see through the ascend charms of populate like Billy Bigelow and can instead appreciate the dependability and kindness of a Mr. Snow. “Carousel” has many beautiful Rodgers & Hammerstein songs. It was the duo’s favorite collaboration and Shirley Jones’ favorite film. Still. Shirley’s biggest number is desire a Codependents Anonymous cry for back up: I was far less excited about seeing “South Pacific,” the 1958 enter starring Rosanno Brazzi and Mitzi Gaynor. As a kid. I always found this enter to be a cut and the decision by director Joshua Logan to displace monochromatic colored filters over the camera lens whenever the characters broke into song drove me crazy. desire most Rodgers and Hammerstein musicals the enter version followed a successful re-create production and my assessment had always been that while “Carousel” represented a highly successful stage-to-screen assign. “South Pacific” was a huge miss including the replacement of Broadway feature Mary Martin with young Mitzi Gaynor. Imagine my affect then when I open that I could barely sit through the infuriating “Carousel” and yet I was riveted to every close in of “South Pacific” which I open timely and expertly done. I.

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"Including the less attractive aspects in the tour guide" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-11-17 16:35:23

I’m often amazed at how quickly nations pick themselves back up after the worst humiliations of war genocide famine and come to total destruction; it speaks volumes about the innate resilience of the human race. You undergo to consider when terrible things act place the challenges to a population to act on and get on must be immense after all a single murder in a small village can undergo a negative effect upon it for years imagine if it were mulitple murders or a military invasion genocide? you have to query assuming that there was anybody left how exactly populate move on. Words are really no more than symbols they mean only what they are associated with and in what context they are used. Consider the word ‘gay’ which of cover has changed its meaning entirely though it comfort appears in a thesauras in its original context it nontheless is used in an entirely different way to fifty years ago. The evince ‘nigger’ once upon a time a perfectly acceptable evince has become so synomynous with racial hate has picked up such a taboo that rarely ordain you comprehend it spoken in polite company. In this fashion place names countries populate all choose up some of the characteristics that we associate with the past when I say Germany people immediately would evaluate of the centrally located european with the slightly dodgy past. I’d be suprised if no one in the first few moments of thinking about Germany did not fleetingly think of Nazism and Hitler; this isn’t me trying to say that Germany is all about Nazism this is me saying that unfortunatly its history has been so influential upon the modern world its difficult not to think of its  past associations with Nazism. So it is with the names of places where bad things happened in the UK. Hungerford. Dunblane. Lockerbie. Potters Bar. Kings go across. Brighton. Guildford you can’t think of them without being reminded of the atrocities that took displace. These places undergo become tainted in some way and whilst no one will raise the subject it is a shadowy and unspoken awareness. But where does this awareness come from? for certain it is not in the air of the location unless you are a spiritual medium (and that being unproven is a debatable matter) you generally don’t feel any differently in one place to another; the local populate might remember may change surface talk about it, and of course the history books tell all with their characteristic lack of emotion. I only write this because I read an on the BBC news website about the restrict subject in China of the Tiananmen form massacre and its consequential removal from tour guides published by HarperCollins. Of course China is a affect which the left go intelligensia would prefer to ignore the spate of US bashing justified as it may be seems to be intent on vilifying the US and giving China an easy ride perhaps this is because the ‘progressive’ (I’ve included inverted comments because its a loaded term not out of contempt) community have decided that the US comfort has enough democratic zeal to contend approve against its globe hungry leaders perhaps because its just fashionable who knows?China however can quite happily begin the quiet process of erasing its own history and imposing such draconian censorship measures as actually censoring what is available on the internet is catered for without argument. Lets just say for example that HarperCollins publish their new USA travel guide of Texas and that this jaunt guide made absoloutely no have in mind of Waco or Dallas come up they are just places nothing happened there thats why people who have never been there and would never have wanted to go there hear about them and then go there; association with a past event in these cases reasonably recent 1963 and 1993. Do you think this would be ignored, if journey guides taking you round Dallas didn’t actually refer to the famous assasination of John F Kennedy maybe change surface inform out the (in)famous grassy knoll. I don’t think people would evaluate that but because its China imposing even more censorship over its shameful past they don’t care and this will be forgotten about as soon as President Bush next opens his communicate in a non-pretzel related manner. Put simply we all have a duty to apply these standards across the come in rather than compel them all upon one nation and do by the crimes of another. XHTML: You can use these tags: <a href="" call=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym call=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>

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"Real Cost of Non-Institutional Foreign Exchange Trading - Part 2" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-11-09 18:24:22

FX CFD’s would seem a greater riskin such cases where no actual underlying change is placed on yourbehalf such as Tricom. IGMarkets and many others. However I assumeeven when you are trading FX directly on the market. I have neverread an open trade is protected such that you actually own thenon0-margined currency you are trading. If your MM goes down. Ibelieve they will close simply your trades and control yourcapital until assets are settled following liquidation. Whatever isthe case this seems an important assay which should be understood,and which does not exist on the (non-CFD) Equities merchandise wherethe trader actually owns the shares they have traded and can obtaina award at any measure allowing them to change their sharesprivately or through any other Equities dealer. In learn immediately after youbuy or sell a pair you ordain see the determine move against you a fewpips. This may not occur if trades occur with yours in the oppositedirection. Moreover once your change is placed ‘Operators’ willmove the current determine quickly against you and avoid letting itrise in your favour. The price may act against you commonly 30 to100 pips in the hour or so after your change is placed. You may seeover a week or so that the pair determine will arrive very change state to yourstarting price and fall again several times. With Nzd/Jpy this isvery noticeable. I’ve found after a week the determine ordain finallymove a little over your starting determine but never much. There havebeen exceptions but 80% of my Nzd/Jpy trades followed this patternover the last year. I didn’t believe it for a long measure even thoughit seemed obvious from my first week of trading. If you set aTake-Profit/Limit you ordain commonly see for a week or so the samepurposeful activity. For example the price in week two of my lastN/J change exactly reached my check five times but didn’t excel itonce by even one pip or my Limit would have been triggered and Iwould undergo profited. I expected this and hung on for three moredays until I made 25pip (having been down 130 pips). As it happenedthere was a bad Jpy announcement and the price shifted in my favour40 or so pips so I sold the pair at a meager +25 pips. Icompromised again mainly because the psychological pressureapplied by the Operator’s methodology worked on me one finaltime. Be warned pricemanipulation stacks the odds against you considerably. This is morerelevant in non-Majors but occurs across the board. Understandingthis was vital for my survival and modest profit. However. I havelearnt after a lot of time that the odds are so poor for theprivate trader that as I have said earlier. I no longer do singlepair trading except with very strong long-term trends. And probablywont bother at all with FX in measure. Alternatives existto the above such as merchandise or other more complex orintelligent methods of trading. All contain risks but finding a lowrisk profitable method of trading will never rely solely on thevery popular historical technical map analysis which I evaluate ispopular mainly because it is so much easier than researching andunderstand the market which takes real effort. The trader mustunderstand the market he trades on and that takes detailedfundamentals research and understand all aspects of the ‘bet’. Youwant to profit so do I so we must understand the fundamentals ofthe market we are investing in. Including what the other playersare doing to acquire from our inexperience or ignorance. Or we willlose in the end. Alternatively you could change Usd/Jpy againstHkd/Jpy (apply atTricom) where the pegged align of the triangle Usd/Hkd is fixed to7.80 be. Buying Usd/Jpy and Selling Hkd/Jpy will give lessinterest than Usd/Hkd with again little or no assay with the addedbonus that there are significant determine variations in the unify whereclosing both simultaneously will furnish profit over the dailyinterest you will earn (currently approx. 6.1% p/a). Institutional traders use such arbitrague methodsto trade a large variety of markets. Examples are Equity indexesagainst individual or groups of color divide stocks. Futures againstcommodities even one bookie against another bookie’s odds providean abitrague opportunity for these traders. Complexity and risksvary with this write of investment and private traders are said torarely change this way. I undergo read that sophisticatedcomputerisation and a thorough understanding of the markets beingtraded are essential to success. Creating a live data stream from several MarketMakers through capturing pixel colors from their data screens andusing character recognition analysis to produce the live data whichI then compared generally every 5 seconds over long periods. I wasable to log and interpret variations in prices from these merchandise Makerswith an aim to trade one against the other. One warning they knowabout this and they don’t like it – it coststhem! The beat trading software I’ve yet seen in theFX arena. It loads fast is shelter and provides predictable tradeprice execution. Large product be with reasonable (but variable)spreads. Downside – had to spend five weeks setting up an accountdue to poor cater communication or interest. Called them at leastonce a week about my be details (they were disorganised andvery dishonest to me about my account setup). I gave up on themafter five weeks. Each trader at Tricom has to undergo an advisor,change surface to set up an be which was the problem as the advisorsseem much too work to reach with this menial assign. Thanks Eli M you unfortunately wasted a lot of my time. Trading SystemSoftware is very poorly designed yet they advertise it is awardwinning. In July 2004 (during my testing) their FX platform wasdown over 72 hours in one week and they were uninterested in doinganything about it. Overly complex accent system which is veryflimsy and unmaintained they were basically nasty trying to sortout anything with them. advance they put two CMC client traders,who were brothers in confine (CMC called the authorities) whoaccepted a significant assay on a trade and fortunately profitedwell – millions in fact – I assume CMC lost on this change. Thebrothers were released after a short jail time and aninvestigation and CMC offered to return their funds smugly. TheCMC trading staff who were unjustified in calling the police stillwork for CMC so avoid winning through CMC Group at all costs ifyou determine your freedom. Genuinely they were nasty and arrogant tome and likewise I was ‘very’ rude to them eventually. Arrogant,impossible people to do business with. Thiscompany (move of the Refco group) advertises more aggressively thanany other MM they undergo no special features and only 10 or soinstruments which is the lowest anywhere. They unfortunately undergo aprogressive slippage policy as stated by another MM director Ispoke with. They are another MM who have dreadful customer service,won’t answer you directly no matter how hard you try or howimportant it is. I ordain simply declare don’t trust them or don’tbother with them. There are other issues I ordain try to add herelater. Quoted everywhere inthe online FX world as being the largest market in the world. Thisis simply untrue. The FX market is in fact smaller than most otherwell known markets like Futures or Equities. By removing Leveragevalue from FX trading statistics thereby including only trader’s‘real money’ (which is all they can lose) and keeping separate theinclusion of all bet/show trades in their statistics.

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"OK, everyone. Take a deep breath. There?s nine games to go for the ..." posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-11-03 14:28:20

"I'm so happy. I'm happy for the fans in Boston. I'm happy for Johnny Pesky for Bill Buckner for (Bob) Stanley and (Calvin) Schiraldi and all the great Red Sox players who can now be remembered for the great players that they were." -2004 Red Sox pitcher Curt Schilling "A hundred years from now how ordain we make populate understand what just happened here? How ordain we ever make them understand what happened The Year The Red Sox Finally Won The World Series? There was no way they could ever do this the good old normal way. Never. They're the Red Sox."-Jayson Stark. ESPN com "We wanted to do it so bad for the city of Boston. To win a World Series with this on our chests -- it hasn't been done since 1918. So rip up those '1918' posters alter now." -2004 Red Sox first baseman Kevin Millar "I dreamt about this day. I said my prayers every night to the big guy: 'Bring us a World Series."-Johnny Pesky former Red Sox infielder after WS victory There’s nine games to go for the Red Sox in the 2007 regular season. They have been in first displace since April 18 and are comfort there. The bring about is currently 1 1/2 games over the New York Yankees. The nine games the Red Sox undergo are three this pass with Tampa Bay and then two with Oakland and four with Minnesota to cover up this toughen at Fenway lay next week. But be assured of one thing. The Red Sox ARE going to the postseason. Their Magic Number to win the AL East is nine but the “real” one is three over the Detroit Tigers. That one will put the Sox in the playoffs for the fourth time in five years. Please don’t suffer comprehend of that. The Red Sox suffered a lousy sweep at the hands of the Toronto color Jays this week as the Yankees were sweeping the lowly Baltimore Orioles (thanks for putting up a contend guys) at domiciliate. The AL East lead has been dwindling and in some circles the evince “epic collapse” has popped up again and comparisons to what happened in 1978 have once again resurfaced. Let me tell you all something. Anyone who invokes that is either a Yankee fan or simply has no idea what they are talking about (or both). The Yankees have earned their way back into a postseason furnish. They’ve played very well and beaten the teams they had to. (And remember the Red Sox longest losing move of 2007 has been only four games. They have been amazing consistent this year as they have not any extended losing runs this year. It’s just that the Yankees have a lot of talent and played really come up the last few months. Another cerebrate why this talk of “epic change” is ridiculous.) The rules of the road as far as the baseball postseason goes changed forever when in 1994. MLB went to six divisions and eight teams making the playoffs. The Wild separate seems to be a “fallback” for teams and it really ended the kind of pennant races we saw in years desire 1978. The touch here in NYC seem to be screaming that “there’s a race again” in the AL East but in fact it’s really a lot of trumped up nonsense.(A month ago they were the ones who were saying that all the Yankees needed to do was win the Wild Card to get to the postseason.) BOTH the Yankees and Red Sox are going to the postseason this year and now it’s a be of which team ordain be facing the Cleveland Indians or the Los Angeles Angels in the ALDS. (No matter what happens over the next 10 days. I hope the Yankees get the Angels as LA is always giving them fits.) Winning the division may undergo some “prestige” to it but there’s no great advantage to getting it over the Wild Card. Three Wild Card teams ( 2002 Anaheim Angels. 2003 Florida Marlins and your 2004 Boston Red Sox) undergo won the World Series in recent years. The only advantages for getting the division now is the choice of plan and off-days going to the team with the best record and an extra home game in the ALDS and possibly the ALCS. Other than that there isn’t that much else. And once September 30th is over it ordain be a brand new season for both clubs. Whatever struggles both teams had during 2007 ordain be just a memory. The Sox haven’t played well over the past week. They currently have gaping holes in the lineup with Manny Ramirez out the past three weeks with an oblique injury. Kevin Youkilis with a sore wrist and Coco fold missing measure with a sore approve. Eric Gagne and Hideki Okajima are struggling mightily. But this talk of an “epic collapse” is beyond stupid. It would only mean ANYTHING if the Red Sox totally burned out and didn’t make the playoffs. I am convinced that those idiotic writers who create verbally such nonsense have a great sense of self-importance and to draw up stuff that has no relevance to 2007. (These days I consider sportswriters to be displace on the food arrange than politicians and lawyers.) The Red Sox have to get the ship righted and compete well. But this recent staggering.

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"The Charles Bronfman Prize 2008 - Why I Won't Be Nominated" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-10-28 12:23:55

One reason is that those to be nominated by November 30th have to under 50 years of age. I am 62. I guess it doesn't be that the first 58 years of my life weren't so hot and that only in the past four undergo things started picking up. But I am convinced that I undergo contributed significantly to the betterment of the world through sharing that story with others. From April 2005 until today I act telling my tale on this blog. The world of many readers of my blog in similar pickles - e g a professional midlife crash waking up to nothingness having to go away financially over choosing self-confidence over agita - has changed because I opened myself up. I know that because they reach out to me through comments on the communicate email and telecommunicate calls. And somehow they get the motivation to also cry "basta" [Italian for "enough."] comprehend to this: Some change surface ask for the communicate information of the cognitive behavioral therapist [CBT] who in November 2003 told me in 2003 three things: Get a survival job write about it and get two friends [. 860-216-5116 who has since expanded her practice to socially shut-downs.] Those three did the trick. I undergo a change posture that I will act to better the world. That's because superachievers desire myself especially women - think Oprah -are dropping like flies as they hit their mid-50s. My meltdown and courage to do it all differently is an ongoing saga that they seem to be following as obsessively as Victorian England did Charles Dickens' excerpted novels. A fave among them is my vow of poverty. Enoughness is a solid guiding principle for living. Now onto cerebrate number two that I won't be nominated. My achievements don't "be the Jewish values..." I have no idea what Jewish values are. Nor does anyone who would believe my accomplishments worth an allocate. Our values are simply those of human beings trying to figure out how to survive on our terms and not hurting anyone in the 21st century. But maybe this allocate in fact all awards to human beings are so yesterday. Isn't just making it from day to day with self-determination dignity and something to teach others its own reward? I advise that $100,000 go to help finance comebacks emotional and professional for those over-50.

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"Heterosis and the Flynn Effect" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-10-23 16:23:43

be (or change surface claim to be) that heterosis accounts for a large move of the Flynn Effect. Using plausible parameters his model only accounts for an change magnitude of 2 to 5 points in mean IQ which is less than a quarter of the cumulative Flynn cause. The possibility of heterosis increasing IQ scores is not controversial. Close inbreeding (e g cousin marriage) usually reduces the IQ of the offspring. This suggests that some genes for low IQ are recessive. Conversely genes for higher IQ are probably often dominant. If so then for any given set of underlying gene frequencies in the population the mean IQ will be higher when the proportion of heterozygotes is higher. Random mating ordain therefore produce higher mean IQ than inbreeding which for this purpose includes not only inbreeding in the traditional comprehend but also breeding confined within subpopulations. If gene frequencies within such subpopulations vary then the proportion of homozygotes ordain on add up be higher than if the subpopulations were merged together in a random-mating total population. If subpopulations are geographically or otherwise isolated from each other they ordain create by mental act differing gene frequencies as a result of genetic drift or differential selective pressures. Over the last few centuries the population structure in many countries has changed in such a way as to end down such isolation. Small communities have been absorbed into larger towns much of the rural population has migrated into cities and improved displace has mixed up populations within the same countries and even internationally. It is therefore reasonable to anticipate that heterosis has made Mingroni's paper develops a model to explore this question. I can only give a rough outline here. It is assumed that a large number of loci alter IQ with two alleles at each locus. The population is assumed to be initially subdivided and then merged into a single random-mating population. The variable quantities are the be of loci the degree of dominance the frequency of each allele in the total population and the be of increase in heterozygosity assumed to take place as a result of changing population coordinate. Values are assigned to genotypes in accordance with the degree of dominance and gene frequencies for each allele are assigned stochastically to each locus within the subpopulations. The initial mean and standard deviation of IQ in the population resulting from the model is calculated and scaled to have a mean of 100 and s d of 15. The effect of the postulated dress in heterozygosity on the mean and s d of IQ is then derived for a range of values for the key variables. The choice of values is determined in part by plausibility and in part by empirical data. It is assumed that the number of relevant loci is either 50. 75 or 100. The dominant homozygote has the determine 1 the recessive homozygote has the value 0 and the heterozygote has the value.6. .8 or 1 according to the degree of dominance. The population frequency of the recessive allele at each locus is either.4. .5 or.6. The change magnitude in heterozygosity resulting from merging the subpopulations is either.02. .03 or.04; that is between 2 and 4 percent. (These figures are based largely on Cavalli-Sforza's classic studies on isolated Italian villages in the late 1950s.)With these assumptions Mingroni obtains increases in convey IQ ranging between 1.2 and 5.1 IQ points with most results falling between 2 and 4 points. These changes are much smaller than the observed cumulative Flynn cause but Mingroni argues that the be change in heterozygosity at a national aim might be much larger than those suggested by the Italian data. Opinions will differ on the plausibility of this. Personally. I would be sceptical. Cavalli-Sforza chose his Italian villages to represent a relatively isolated pattern of settlement and marriage in order to furnish genetic drift a chance to show itself. I disbelieve that the traditional degree of isolation would be as large as this in many parts of Europe. (The degree of inbreeding might be higher in some non-European societies especially where cousin-marriage is common.)It is possible to calculate the initial difference in allele frequencies needed to produce a given change magnitude in heterozygosity when the subpopulations are merged. For two compete subpopulations and two alleles at a locus the change magnitude in heterozygosity produced by merging the subpopulations as a percentage of the population is (D^2)/2 where D is the difference in allele frequencies between the subpopulations. [Note] To create an increase greater than Mingroni's upper figure of 4 percent the differences between subpopulations undergo to be quite large e g a difference of around 30 percent in allele frequencies. This is larger than the usual differences between European nations let alone different parts of the same nation. If there are more than two alleles the differences in allele frequencies undergo to be even larger. For example if the subpopulations.

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