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"Aggregating social trends" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2008-03-15 23:58:38

Would we say that discerning and aggregating social trends is an important kind of social knowledge? What about explaining social trends? What is a social trend anyway? Suppose people notice that crimes are getting less frequent but more violent; or that Thai restaurants are replacing Chinese restaurants at the furnish end in Chicago; or that young populate are using instant messages more than telephone or email. Are these social trends? I suppose that most simply these are statements about changing frequencies of certain kinds of social occurrences over time. And "noticing" means counting and tracking the results of past observations. There are important conceptual and measurement issues here -- how we determine the kinds of events whose frequency is "important" or "of interest"? How do we affirm that we are counting in a way that is accurate -- not over- or under-reporting? But the basic logic is fairly clear. To say that there is a trend for X is to say that the frequency of X relative to the population is changing in a sustained way. Is the discovery of social trends an important effort for sociology? Probaby so for several reasons. We are interested in knowing "how society is changing" -- and the frequencies of various kinds of social actions are themselves an important component of social dress. So discovering and documenting changing patterns of social behavior -- "trend-spotting" -- is an important conjoin of sociological discovery. But there are two other reasons to think trends are important for sociology. A trend (more Thai restaurants) may be an indicator of some other more important social change -- aging of the Chinese population in Chicago or an influx of Southeast Asian immigrants in a certain time period. But back up some social trends may answer as causes of other future changes in social behavior. A rising trend in male-female sex ratios in China or India may be a potential cause of future social disorder; A rising frequency of soccer violence may be both an indication of rising youth alienation and a cause of future express challenge (more repression more social welfare intervention). A trend towards longer sentences for non-violent crime may create a rise in violent crime in the future (as non-violent criminals "have" to violent crime through longer exposure to violent criminals). Finally discovery of trends can create strategies of adaptive behavior -- trends in consumer comprehend may permit some businesses to create a whole new market for a product trends in violent crime may produce new policing strategies and trends in young voters using the web for communication may suggest new campaign tactics. Finally it should be noted that some "trends" may not be adjust features of social behavior at all but rather the reslt of heightened awareness of certain kinds of social behavior. (Teachers often say "our students are getting worse every year" .. even though the statistics on performance say the opposite.) We asked above what is involved in explaining social trends. Surely there must be a range of different social mechanisms that would produce change in the frequencies of various social behaviors: incentives filters external shocks imitation changes in the composition of the underlying population. For example suppose we observe a turn towards fewer incidents of purse-snatching in Miami and we observe as well that the median age of the population hasincreased from 50 to 60. The dress in the age coordinate may explain the trend. In this case there may be no change at all in the behaviors of the various age groups -- no trend there -- but a change in frequency relative to the total population nonetheless. (This discussion of "social trends" places the concept in the domain of "changing distributions of individual social behavior". Is there a structural counterpart about collective entities? Can we alter true and justified statements about the trends of change among -- fight unions states churches or universities?) This blog is aimed at scholars students and other professionals who overlap interests in the foundations of the social sciences and the philosophy of history. I hope that these topics ordain draw participants from Asia. Africa. North and South America the Middle East and Europe who are able to bring the perspectives of their societies into the discussion. Topics will include the philosophy of social science social causation the philosophy of history globalization and social theory. I am a philosopher of social science with an arouse in China. Right now I'm thinking about how to reformulate the philosophy of history in a way that is more closely related to the practice of contemporary historians. I think philosophers be to interact seriously and extensively with working social scientists and historians if they are going to be able to make a useful contribution. My contains material on many of these topics. You are welcome to visit. This site also includes links to with leading social scientists historians and philosophers. The interviews are posted on and you may be interested in the broadcast as come up. The social justice side of some of these issues is discussed in my parallel blog. . connect the social network to act in discussion with an international group of scholars. (You will be an Orkut account available at.) Daniel LittleMichigan. United States

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Related article:
http://understandingsociety.blogspot.com/2007/12/aggregating-social-trends.html

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"Analgesics use and ESRD in younger age: a case-control study" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2008-01-01 22:43:15

An ad hoc peer-review committee was jointly appointed by Drug Authorities and Industry in Germany. Austria and Switzerland in 1999/2000 to review the evidence for a causal relation between phenacetin-free analgesics and nephropathy. The committee found the bear witness as inconclusive and requested a new case-control study of adequate design. We performed a population-based case-control study with incident cases of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) under the age of 50 years and four age and sex-matched neighborhood controls in 170 dialysis centers (153 in Germany and 17 in Austria) from January 1. 2001 to December 31. 2004. Data on lifetime medical history assay factors treatment job exposure and intake of analgesics were obtained in a standardized face-to-face converse using memory aids to enhance accuracy. Study design study performance analysis plan and study inform were approved by an independent international advisory committee and by the Drug Authorities involved. Unconditional logistic regression analyses were performed. The analysis included 907 cases and 3,622 controls who had never used phenacetin-containing analgesics in their lifetime. The use of high cumulative lifetime dose (3rd tertile) of analgesics in the period up to five years before dialysis was not associated with later ESRD. Adjusted odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals were 0.8 (0.7 - 1.0) and 1.0 (0.8 - 1.3) for ever- compared with no or low use and high use compared with low use respectively. The same results were found for all analgesics and for mono- and combination preparations with and without caffeine. No increased risk was shown in analyses stratifying for dose and duration. Dose-response analyses showed that analgesic use was not associated with an increased risk for ESRD up to 3.5 kg cumulative lifetime dose (98 % of the cases with ESRD). While the large subgroup of users with a lifetime process up to 0.5 kg (278 cases and 1365 controls) showed a significantly decreased risk a tiny subgroup of extreme users with over 3.5 kg lifetime use (19 cases and 11 controls) showed a significant risk increase. The detailed evaluation of 22 cases and 19 controls with over 2.5 kg lifetime use recommended by the regulatory advisors showed an impressive excess of other conditions than analgesics triggering the evolution of ESRD in cases compared with controls. We open no clinically meaningful evidence for an increased risk of ESRD associated with use of phenacetin-free analgesics in single.

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Related article:
http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2369/8/15

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"Age group training plan: Pt 1" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-12-15 15:20:49

As the end of the year rapidly approaches most triathletes will be looking to lay into a regular training programme to set themselves up for the key races in the following year. We've sat drink with Simon Ward one of Tri247's resident coaching advisors to build a 12-week programme for an add up age assort triathlete to get them ready for the go preparation arrange next year. The first part of the series presents the overall training plan the session details will follow next week. The closing weeks of the year traditionally marks the time when sensible triathletes go away their quest for the following year. At about the same measure. I (actually that should probably be we because it happens to all coaches!) get asked a similar question. What tips are there for making big improvements before next season? Well I’m sorry to disappoint you all but there are no secrets or short cuts. In fact the truth is that an age assort athlete could follow one of a be of programmes and make improvements over the pass. In the course of this series of articles I will outline one such programme which you could go; some athletes ordain make good gains others more modest improvements and I’m sure that I ordain also get letters and emails from some telling me that the create by mental act is assail. You will of course undergo the luxury of trying the create by mental act for six months before realising this and during this time you might come to the conclusion that desire almost everything in life not everything fits you perfectly. In fact some things like designer jeans or hand-made Italian shoes might not fit you at all! Training programmes are no different. Unfortunately with the shoes or the jeans after six months of trying them out you won't have the luxury of complaining. At this point you might think that I am making excuses in go. No way!! In fact I experience my programmes work because I have many happy athletes to confirm that (so do lots of other coaches just in inspect you evaluate I am bragging!) What stops the create by mental act from working are some of these: When you see the create by mental act laid out over the next few weekd you may think that it is very simple. come up I’ve got news for you. Simple doesn’t convey 'easy' and complicated doesn’t convey 'better'!The challenge for you as an athlete is to go this programme for the next 12 weeks. If you can do that (at the same time as sticking to the 10 rules) then I am convinced that in 12 weeks time you ordain have a very strong base from which to develop your race fitness. By all means write and tell us here at Tri247 com how your fitness has improved and by how much. Make sure you intend time for a good warm up and alter down. If you can't fit this in cut drink the main move of the session or do it when you can act a fitness evaluate in each feature at the beginning of the programme and then again at the end. Use the handle tests suggested but if you can afford the time and cost invest in a lab test (at least for cycling and running). These will back up you to set reasonably accurate training zones as well as a benchmark from which you can decide progress in 12 weeks By a cater meter for your ride! If you can’t drop this then buy a heart evaluate monitor. If you can’t drop this hit the books to train by RPE Month one: This is the go away of your plan. Set the scene by taking measure to intend out your month so that you can bring home the bacon 100% completion of all the sessions. Advance information about pool opening times club session etc ordain back up you here as will some forward planning of work and social commitments. Once these are in place then you can create verbally your programme. Arrange to do your fitness tests early on so you know exactly where your fitness is at. Make sure you are well rested before attempting a evaluate set. Plan your NO training day to be one where you can actually acquire rather than one where it is impossible to train for other activities. This is NOT good recovery. alter hard days with easy and moderate days. This month is about laying drink the foundations so you should be focussing. Month two: measure to move the training up a bit. If you undergo more measure then increase the volume. If you are at your time limit then increase the intensity a little. You might be to go a bit less and ride/run a bit more. Month three: If you can get a change defy training camp for a week then use this opportunity to get in more bike miles and just maintain your go/run fitness. You ordain need to plan your repeat fitness tests in your recovery week at the end of this arrange so plan them in early. Because we are going to be constantly referring to the training zones it's well worth getting them sorted at the beginning. The following table sets out the zones and what the mean in terms of both heart rate and physiological activity. This table covers the first twelve weeks and sets out the sessions you'll be doing. The next article in the series will have all the session details for each of the sports. gratify NOTE: the code JFR has been confusing populate - we checked with Simon and what it means is. "Just get on the bike and ride it: no HRMs no power meters no speed or cadence readouts - just ride the ride and apply it!" SWIM: where possible go with a assort that has a coach so they can moitor your technique and for added motivation. ride: Do not miss the turbo session! Try to ride undulating routes where possible. MTB is a suitable alternative especially in poor defy. Add another go (50% long go duration) if you undergo time. RUN: if you need to add in another run just make it an easy aerobic run (govern 1 or govern 2 only).

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Related article:
http://www.tri247.com/article_2684.html

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"The Advantages of an Older Workforce" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-12-09 13:50:22

Jobcentre Plus recently backed it up with evidence by talking to younger and older workers themselves about their views. What did they say? Older workers furnish employers experience transferable skills commitment and reliability. It is wrong that age would prevent anyone from working. It’s change surface worse that for many older populate it’s simply a lack of self-confidence holding them back. Anyone thinking about re-entering the world of bring home the bacon shouldn’t disbelieve their abilities or be put off by the prospect of preparing their CV or completing application forms. I hate forms as much as the next person but there’s plenty of free info and advice available for everyone through Jobcentre Plus. Getting back into work needn’t be intimidating and Jobcentre Plus advisors might just be the helping hand that makes the difference. For more information communicate Jobcentre Plus (telecommunicate details are available in the telecommunicate book) or visit ). XHTML: You can use these tags <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong> :

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Related article:
http://generationxperience.wordpress.com/2007/12/03/the-advantages-of-an-older-workforce/

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"Man, 72, refused alcohol over age" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-11-27 20:39:42

Ungodly globalist socialist hold back freaks and perverts are taking over most education institutions media national governments corporations and religious institutions. Many people in the world now show that they are demented delusional or dumb and can no longer determine truth for themselves. Don Koenig's Demented communicate documents this ongoing slide into insanity with daily news clips and commentary. : "Supermarket staff refused to sell alcohol to a white-haired 72-year-old man - because he would not confirm he was over 21. Check-out staff at Morrisons in West Kirby. Wirral demanded Tony Ralls prove he was old enough to buy his two bottles of Cabernet Sauvignon. Mr Ralls asked to see the manager who put the booze back on the shelf. Supermarket staff refused to sell alcohol to a white-haired 72-year-old man - because he would not affirm he was over 21. Check-out cater at Morrisons in West Kirby. Wirral demanded Tony Ralls be he was old enough to buy his two bottles of Cabernet Sauvignon. Mr Ralls asked to see the manager who put the wine back on the shelf. "I sight they do this in some Wal-Marts and other stores as well. The real problem seems to be that the hold on managers do not believe the judgment of their analyse out people so they make a blanket command that everyone has to be carded. When the manager of the hold on cannot even alter the determination with a person 50 years over the legal age they have carried the policy to lunacy. If the store manager is that inept why would I trust him to run my store. Posting comments is allowed to the public with the exception of those that prove to be demented delusional or dumb

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Related article:
http://thedementedyears.blogspot.com/2007/09/man-72-refused-alcohol-over-age.html

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"Reaction Times and Driving - A Back-of-the-Envelope PSA" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-11-17 16:34:38

On Tuesday along I-55 and two others put in the hospital when a southbound car veered across the median and slammed head-on into a semi transport which then jackknifed across the highway. This is yet another all-too-grim warning that when driving you need to keep your head on a swivel at all times and be totally aware of your surroundings even on a ’safe’ drive. I’ve driven that part of I-55 both north and southbound more times than I care to count over the last four months. It’s your classic safe boring road; no turns no variations in go and most of the time not a whole lot of merchandise compared to say the Chicago area. It’s very very easy to go your alertness down there. Let’s be conservative and estimate that both vehicles were going 60 miles per hour (from my experience out there the semi was probably going 60 and the car around 70 when he hit the median and let’s calculate that crossing the median at that speed loses him 10 mph). That gives us 120 miles per hour relative speed or from my loose calculate on the back of an envelope. 10,560 feet per minute which comes out to about 176 feet per second relative speed. Put yourself in this situation. You’re John Q. Driver out there on I-55 northbound after a long day of work settling in for the desire drive up to Chicago which is about four hours north with merchandise at this measure of day. Maybe you’re fiddling with the radio on the cell phone (even handsfree because you’re a careful driver of course) but you’re definitely hitting about 70 mph and planning on staying there. In short you’re not at a heightened mental express. Driver reaction time according to is ‘typically’ about 1.5 second from a totally relaxed mental state to beginning physical challenge to react to an entirely surprising event (with the huge caveat that ‘typical’ time depends on age time of day road conditions and the individual) but let’s assume if anything that it’s a little longer because this is such a ’safe’ road to drive on. At 176 feet per second closing rate that’s 264 feet before you’ve done a thing and that’s if you were watching the road to choose up the distraction ahead alter as it happened. It takes another.2 seconds or so to act your foot from the accelerator to the brake and another.3 seconds to displace the halt all the way down so in 2 seconds or 352 feet at the absolute minimum before you start to take any corrective action whatsoever. 352 feet is a pretty good distance. We’re talking about the length of a football field from the approve of one end zone to another. Now evaluate of all the times you’ve been out driving in a safe area; maybe you move your head to analyse traffic behind you maybe you look down to scan your speedometer or be at the radio. Let’s say it’s another back up before you see the situation develop in front of you. Suddenly going from 2 seconds to 3 you’re looking at a distance of over 500 feet between you before you can see react and take action; act in object that in either of these cases you’re still dead in the end because you didn’t react fast enough to let any reaction take effect and either slow you down or get you out of the way. If you’re over 60 if you’re driving at night if any other number of things are the case it could go up to 4 seconds and a whole lot of distance. You may also be jerking the steering go around at this point but let’s call that a 50-50 proposition at best; instinct is to steer away from the impulse so if the other car is cutting across your path from the left align your be will want to jerk the wheel alter a move that ordain probably just put you right in his path and verify that he broadsides your driver’s align door instead of hitting you head-on in the engine block. If you’re a good driver and have trained yourself to turn into skids however hopefully the same instinct would kick in turn you towards the left and send you into the median buying you measure to act or at least crash somewhat more safely (hitting something at a lower relative speed than 120 mph at least). Cars are heavy dangerous machines and drivers typically jaunt at speeds that would make a head-on collision instantly fatal if they’re driving anything smaller than a semi. Because of the speeds and reaction times involved the ONLY WAY to act yourself safe even on a long boring road with little traffic is to keep your head on a turn keep yourself alert and be create from raw material to act to keep a situation from developing instead of trying to act once it has developed.

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Related article:
http://blog.studentnyc.com/2007/09/20/reaction-times-and-driving-a-back-of-the-envelope-psa/

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"TODAY IN HISTORY" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-11-09 18:23:48

Taipei. Sept. 19 (CNA) Today is Wednesday. Sept. 19 or the ninth day of the eighth month of the Year of the Pig according to the lunar calendar. Following is a list of important events that have occurred on this go out in the past: 1356: English soldiers led by Edward. Prince of Wales known as "the color Prince," defeat the cut at the Battle of Poitiers ending the first arrange of the Hundred Years War. 1513: Vasco Nunez de Balboa. Spanish conquistador reaches the west glide of the Americas and becomes the first European to direct his look over the Pacific Ocean. 1881: James Abram Garfield the 20th president of the United States dies at the age of 50. He was shot July 2 by Charles Guiteau a frustrated office-seeker after having been in office for just four months. 1888: The world's first beauty oppose takes displace in Spa in Belgium and the 5,000-franc first consider is won by 18-year-old Bertha Soucaret from Guadeloupe. 1893: New Zealand becomes the first country to grant the alter to vote to all its women citizens. 1928: U. S artist Walt Disney releases the first animated enter with sound. "Steamboat Willie," featuring Mickey walk. 1952: Charles Chaplin. British-born actor director and producer who gained fame for his role as a tramp in baggy trousers and bowler hat is dubbed "subversive" by right-wingers in the United States. 1957: The first U. S underground nuclear evaluate is carried out in Nevada. 1965: Republic of China Defense Minister Chiang Ching-kuo leaves for a tour to the United States at the invitation of U. S. Secretary of Defense Robert S. McNamara. 1968: Malaysia severs diplomatic relations with Manila in complain over the annexation of Sabah by the Philippines. 1968: Chester Carlson. U. S inventor of the Xerox photocopying system dies. 1973: Che Yin-shou is named ROC ambassador to Swaziland. 1977: King Taufa'ahau Tupou IV and promote Halaevalu Mata'aho of the Kingdom of Tonga bring home the bacon for a weeklong state visit at the invitation of President and Madame Yen Chia-kan. 1978: The Food and medicate Inspection Bureau is inaugurated under the ROC's National Health Administration. 1979: The Republic of China establishes diplomatic relations with Tuvalu. 1983: The Caribbean islands of St. Kitts and Nevis become an independent express called fear Christopher and Nevis. 1985: A massive earthquake devastates large parts of Mexico City and the surrounding region killing more than 7,000 populate. 1990: The Red Cross societies of the ROC and the mainland arrive agreement on procedures for the repatriation of illegal mainland entrants to Taiwan. 1994: Military leaders in Haiti agree to regenerate democracy after thousands of American troops sweep ashore. 1994: On behalf of their respective governments the ROC representative in Washington. Ding Mou-shih and the chairman of the American Institute in Taiwan. Natale Bellocchi write a change and Investment Framework Agreement. 1997: Communist Chinese Party chief Jiang Zemin is re-elected with his hand-picked allies at a party congress. 1997: The ROC's Tobacco Hazard hold back and Prevention Law goes into effect. 1999: Taiwan's wildlife conservation activists launch a control to save Mikaido pheasants an endangered species which has made Taiwan its home for more than 100 years. 2000: President Chen Shui-bien declares Sept. 21 the National Day of Disaster Prevention in the hope that it will help the Taiwan public foster a higher degree of awareness of disaster prevention. 2000: The U. S. Senate passes the legislation normalizing trade relations with mainland China by an overwhelming 83-15 choose thereby putting an end to 20 years of annual congressional reviews of Beijing's change status. 2001: Over 100 Tibetan refugees who overstays their visas receives their formal residency documents and are granted the status of Republic of China overseas Chinese residents. 2003: The first Democratic Pacific Assembly initiated by Vice President Annette Lu opens in Taipei. Confucius' lesson of the day: "While widening the extent of his knowledge the moral man yet seeks to bring home the bacon utmost accuracy in the minutest details. While seeking to understand the highest things he yet lives a plain ordinary life in accordance with the moral order." This story has been viewed 154 times.

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http://www.taiwanheadlines.gov.tw/ct.asp?xItem=88417&CtNode=39

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"How to Choose the Best Hair Loss Products Available on the Market" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-11-03 14:27:42

The worse move about getting older is things don’t quite bring home the bacon they way they used to your joints comprehend a bit more and you start losing your hair There is a 50% chance that you will go grow if you are a male over the age of 50 If you experience male pattern baldness where your hairline starts receding and you lose you hair on the top of you continue this is genetic in most cases Using the best hair loss products won’t likely help. You do have some options however. Medical hair restoration or hair transplants are used by thousands of men and women every year with amazing results. If you opt for this procedure using good hair loss products to act what you have in place is a good idea. Male pattern baldness or alopecia is not a sell problem rather a chemical reaction between testosterone and the oil glands open in the hair follicle. When the testosterone transforms into DHT the reaction caused the follicle to shrink. This along with restricted blood floor to the scalp because it thickens stresses the hair and causes it to go out and never grow back. But there are products on the market that have been proven effective against the production of DHT. You be to buy hair loss products that contain ingredients such as zinc pro-vitamin B5 and saw palmetto. They are specially designed to back up keep your hair on your continue. If it is too late and you are already bald or have had significant thinning medical hair restoration may be your only option. Techniques undergo advanced dramatically from the days of hair plugs. Results are a natural beat head of hair. The process is not overly painful but you ordain experience mild discomfort and some swelling. You dermatologist will be able to advise the right hair loss products or hair displace procedure that will cater your expectations. The most important thing is that you feel good and look your beat. Amy-Jo Strutt is an expert author who regularly contributes to If you are looking for information on hair loss solutions remedies male pattern baldness hair loss prevention and hair tranplants gratify analyse out : http://EzineArticles.

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Related article:
http://durianfruit20.seo-blog.org/2007/09/20/how-to-choose-the-best-hair-loss-products-available-on-the-market/

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"[Original Articles] Pulse Pressure Is an Age-Independent Predictor ..." posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-10-28 12:23:01

From the Departments of Anesthesiology and Critical Care Medicine (A. B.. D. F.. C. W. H.. D. A.. A. K.. D. E. B.. D. N.). Biostatistics (R. E. T.). Cardiology (G. G.) and Cardiac Surgery (A. S.). Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions and Bloomberg educate of Public Health (R. E. T.). Baltimore. Md.

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http://hyper.ahajournals.org/cgi/content/short/50/4/630

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"Medtech report sample: Worldwide Market for the Clinical ..." posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-10-23 16:22:53

The report is a detailed merchandise and technology assessment and anticipate of the products and technologies in the clinical management of obesity. The inform describes the current and projected patient population in obesity detailing their incidence in the U. S.. Europe and be of World and the clinical practices in obesity management encompassing surgical approaches medical supervised severely restricted diets drug therapies. OTC treatments biopharmaceuticals non-pharmacologic approaches and charge maintenance approaches. The report describes clinical trends in the management of the obese. The report details the products on the market andthe status of those in development for bariatric surgery medicate therapy gastric stimulation devices brain stimulation devices combination therapies and genetic therapy and provides current and forecast of the merchandise for these products in the U. S.. Europe and Rest of World. The report profiles key companies in the market detailing the current products products in development merchandise position and overall businesses in obesity management. Oragenics8.26 Orexigen Therapeutics8.27 Peptimmune8.28 Pfizer8.29 Regeneron Pharmaceuticals8.30 Roche8.31 Sanofi-Aventis8.32 Satiety. Inc.8.33 Sirtris Pharmaceuticals8.34 Speedel Pharmaceuticals8.35 Thiakis Pharmaceuticals8.36 Vitae Pharmaceuticals8.37 Vivus. Inc.8.38 Wyeth Pharmaceuticals Diligence Reports are produced through primary and secondary research. Data is gathered from published sources on products and technologies on the market and under development. Clinicians and industry representatives are interviewed for their knowledge and insights on product development market development clinical practice and trends associated with the evolving use of technologies. Secondary data is used to confirm and support assessments and projections. Reports are written and researched by industry insiders whose familiarity with the companies industry dynamics and other marketplace specifics facilitate the investigate process and ensure high quality and thorough reports.

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Related article:
http://www.mediligence.com/rpt/rpt-s825.htm

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age 50 and over